The U.S. goods and services trade deficit widened to $60.3 billion in March per the latest Bureau of Economic Analysis data, as imports surged 2.3% to $381.2 billion—driven by AI capital goods and consumer demand—outpacing 2% export growth to $320.9 billion, pausing an earlier Q1 narrowing trend. Trader consensus clusters tightly around an 800–900B (38.5%) or 900B–1T (36%) full-year outcome, reflecting uncertainty over Trump administration tariffs' mixed effects: initial front-loading inflated early deficits like January's record, while recent moderation hints at contraction, yet annualized paces near 741B could accelerate with sustained growth. Key separators include April BEA data, new tariff escalations, China/EU negotiations, dollar fluctuations, or Federal Reserve policy shifts impacting import competitiveness.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$20,974 KL.
$20,974 KL.
Feb 28, 2027
<500B
7%
500–600B
6%
600–700B
5%
700–800B
11%
800–900B
41%
900B–1T
36%
1T–1.1T
9%
1.1T+
5%
$20,974 KL.
$20,974 KL.
Feb 28, 2027
<500B
$16,636 KL.
7%
500–600B
$413 KL.
6%
600–700B
$435 KL.
5%
700–800B
$455 KL.
11%
800–900B
$1,008 KL.
41%
900B–1T
$961 KL.
36%
1T–1.1T
$441 KL.
9%
1.1T+
$624 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.The U.S. goods and services trade deficit widened to $60.3 billion in March per the latest Bureau of Economic Analysis data, as imports surged 2.3% to $381.2 billion—driven by AI capital goods and consumer demand—outpacing 2% export growth to $320.9 billion, pausing an earlier Q1 narrowing trend. Trader consensus clusters tightly around an 800–900B (38.5%) or 900B–1T (36%) full-year outcome, reflecting uncertainty over Trump administration tariffs' mixed effects: initial front-loading inflated early deficits like January's record, while recent moderation hints at contraction, yet annualized paces near 741B could accelerate with sustained growth. Key separators include April BEA data, new tariff escalations, China/EU negotiations, dollar fluctuations, or Federal Reserve policy shifts impacting import competitiveness.
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Khối lượng
$20,974Ngày kết thúc
Feb 28, 2027Thị trường mở
Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.The U.S. goods and services trade deficit widened to $60.3 billion in March per the latest Bureau of Economic Analysis data, as imports surged 2.3% to $381.2 billion—driven by AI capital goods and consumer demand—outpacing 2% export growth to $320.9 billion, pausing an earlier Q1 narrowing trend. Trader consensus clusters tightly around an 800–900B (38.5%) or 900B–1T (36%) full-year outcome, reflecting uncertainty over Trump administration tariffs' mixed effects: initial front-loading inflated early deficits like January's record, while recent moderation hints at contraction, yet annualized paces near 741B could accelerate with sustained growth. Key separators include April BEA data, new tariff escalations, China/EU negotiations, dollar fluctuations, or Federal Reserve policy shifts impacting import competitiveness.
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$20,974Ngày kết thúc
Feb 28, 2027Thị trường mở
Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The U.S. goods and services trade deficit widened to $60.3 billion in March per the latest Bureau of Economic Analysis data, as imports surged 2.3% to $381.2 billion—driven by AI capital goods and consumer demand—outpacing 2% export growth to $320.9 billion, pausing an earlier Q1 narrowing trend. Trader consensus clusters tightly around an 800–900B (38.5%) or 900B–1T (36%) full-year outcome, reflecting uncertainty over Trump administration tariffs' mixed effects: initial front-loading inflated early deficits like January's record, while recent moderation hints at contraction, yet annualized paces near 741B could accelerate with sustained growth. Key separators include April BEA data, new tariff escalations, China/EU negotiations, dollar fluctuations, or Federal Reserve policy shifts impacting import competitiveness.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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