US-Iran diplomatic engagement remains stalled in mid-August 2026, with Washington and Tehran issuing conflicting statements on the status of follow-on talks under the June Islamabad Memorandum. The 60-day negotiation window tied to that accord is nearing its end, centering on freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and Iran’s nuclear and missile programs. Iran has publicly denied direct communications with US officials in recent weeks, emphasizing instead Oman-mediated discussions and rejecting any reopening of the strait on Washington’s terms. President Trump has asserted that talks continue regardless, while Pakistan and other regional actors pursue mediation to revive momentum before the deadline. These competing signals, combined with the absence of confirmed high-level meetings since June technical sessions, shape trader assessments of who—if anyone—might participate in a new round by August 31.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$90,965 KL.
Aug 31, 2026
Abbas Araghchi
11%
Steve Witkoff
10%
Jared Kushner
10%
Ishaq Dar
10%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
9%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
8%
Nick Stewart
8%
Kazem Gharibabadi
7%
Rafael Grossi
7%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
6%
Masoud Pezeshkian
4%
Pete Hegseth
4%
Marco Rubio
3%
J.D. Vance
3%
Donald Trump
3%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
1%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
$90,965 KL.
Abbas Araghchi
$8,597 KL.
11%
Steve Witkoff
$12,624 KL.
10%
Jared Kushner
$13,381 KL.
10%
Ishaq Dar
$2,622 KL.
10%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$11,420 KL.
9%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$253 KL.
8%
Nick Stewart
$36 KL.
8%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,647 KL.
7%
Rafael Grossi
$881 KL.
7%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,730 KL.
6%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,719 KL.
4%
Pete Hegseth
$2,568 KL.
4%
Marco Rubio
$7,551 KL.
3%
J.D. Vance
$10,868 KL.
3%
Donald Trump
$6,494 KL.
3%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$3,234 KL.
1%
Esmail Qaani
$456 KL.
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$317 KL.
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,567 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomatic engagement remains stalled in mid-August 2026, with Washington and Tehran issuing conflicting statements on the status of follow-on talks under the June Islamabad Memorandum. The 60-day negotiation window tied to that accord is nearing its end, centering on freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and Iran’s nuclear and missile programs. Iran has publicly denied direct communications with US officials in recent weeks, emphasizing instead Oman-mediated discussions and rejecting any reopening of the strait on Washington’s terms. President Trump has asserted that talks continue regardless, while Pakistan and other regional actors pursue mediation to revive momentum before the deadline. These competing signals, combined with the absence of confirmed high-level meetings since June technical sessions, shape trader assessments of who—if anyone—might participate in a new round by August 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$90,965Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomatic engagement remains stalled in mid-August 2026, with Washington and Tehran issuing conflicting statements on the status of follow-on talks under the June Islamabad Memorandum. The 60-day negotiation window tied to that accord is nearing its end, centering on freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and Iran’s nuclear and missile programs. Iran has publicly denied direct communications with US officials in recent weeks, emphasizing instead Oman-mediated discussions and rejecting any reopening of the strait on Washington’s terms. President Trump has asserted that talks continue regardless, while Pakistan and other regional actors pursue mediation to revive momentum before the deadline. These competing signals, combined with the absence of confirmed high-level meetings since June technical sessions, shape trader assessments of who—if anyone—might participate in a new round by August 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$90,965Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomatic engagement remains stalled in mid-August 2026, with Washington and Tehran issuing conflicting statements on the status of follow-on talks under the June Islamabad Memorandum. The 60-day negotiation window tied to that accord is nearing its end, centering on freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and Iran’s nuclear and missile programs. Iran has publicly denied direct communications with US officials in recent weeks, emphasizing instead Oman-mediated discussions and rejecting any reopening of the strait on Washington’s terms. President Trump has asserted that talks continue regardless, while Pakistan and other regional actors pursue mediation to revive momentum before the deadline. These competing signals, combined with the absence of confirmed high-level meetings since June technical sessions, shape trader assessments of who—if anyone—might participate in a new round by August 31.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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