As of mid-August 2026, the June Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding between the United States and Iran has expired without extension, leaving direct or formal bilateral peace talks stalled amid mutual accusations of violations over the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and frozen assets. Iranian officials have repeatedly denied that negotiations are scheduled or imminent, describing any recent contacts as indirect messaging through intermediaries such as Oman and Qatar rather than official rounds. President Trump has publicly referenced ongoing discussions and halted planned strikes, yet Tehran has rejected claims of imminent face-to-face meetings. These developments, combined with internal Iranian debates and U.S. regional pressure, shape trader assessments of whether any recognized diplomatic round will occur before the August 31 cutoff.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$91,900 KL.
Aug 31, 2026
Nick Stewart
20%
Ishaq Dar
10%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
9%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
9%
Jared Kushner
8%
Abbas Araghchi
8%
Steve Witkoff
8%
Rafael Grossi
7%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
7%
Kazem Gharibabadi
7%
Masoud Pezeshkian
4%
Pete Hegseth
4%
Marco Rubio
4%
J.D. Vance
3%
Donald Trump
3%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
2%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
$91,900 KL.
Nick Stewart
$36 KL.
20%
Ishaq Dar
$2,622 KL.
10%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,730 KL.
9%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$11,544 KL.
9%
Jared Kushner
$13,408 KL.
8%
Abbas Araghchi
$8,906 KL.
8%
Steve Witkoff
$13,070 KL.
8%
Rafael Grossi
$881 KL.
7%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$253 KL.
7%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,676 KL.
7%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,719 KL.
4%
Pete Hegseth
$2,568 KL.
4%
Marco Rubio
$7,551 KL.
4%
J.D. Vance
$10,868 KL.
3%
Donald Trump
$6,494 KL.
3%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$3,234 KL.
2%
Esmail Qaani
$456 KL.
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,567 KL.
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$317 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.As of mid-August 2026, the June Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding between the United States and Iran has expired without extension, leaving direct or formal bilateral peace talks stalled amid mutual accusations of violations over the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and frozen assets. Iranian officials have repeatedly denied that negotiations are scheduled or imminent, describing any recent contacts as indirect messaging through intermediaries such as Oman and Qatar rather than official rounds. President Trump has publicly referenced ongoing discussions and halted planned strikes, yet Tehran has rejected claims of imminent face-to-face meetings. These developments, combined with internal Iranian debates and U.S. regional pressure, shape trader assessments of whether any recognized diplomatic round will occur before the August 31 cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jun 30, 2026, 2:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$91,900Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 2:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.As of mid-August 2026, the June Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding between the United States and Iran has expired without extension, leaving direct or formal bilateral peace talks stalled amid mutual accusations of violations over the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and frozen assets. Iranian officials have repeatedly denied that negotiations are scheduled or imminent, describing any recent contacts as indirect messaging through intermediaries such as Oman and Qatar rather than official rounds. President Trump has publicly referenced ongoing discussions and halted planned strikes, yet Tehran has rejected claims of imminent face-to-face meetings. These developments, combined with internal Iranian debates and U.S. regional pressure, shape trader assessments of whether any recognized diplomatic round will occur before the August 31 cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$91,900Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 2:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...As of mid-August 2026, the June Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding between the United States and Iran has expired without extension, leaving direct or formal bilateral peace talks stalled amid mutual accusations of violations over the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and frozen assets. Iranian officials have repeatedly denied that negotiations are scheduled or imminent, describing any recent contacts as indirect messaging through intermediaries such as Oman and Qatar rather than official rounds. President Trump has publicly referenced ongoing discussions and halted planned strikes, yet Tehran has rejected claims of imminent face-to-face meetings. These developments, combined with internal Iranian debates and U.S. regional pressure, shape trader assessments of whether any recognized diplomatic round will occur before the August 31 cutoff.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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