US-Iran diplomacy remains centered on implementing the June 2026 memorandum of understanding that addressed the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and a ceasefire framework amid the broader conflict that began in February. As of mid-August, indirect technical discussions continue through mediators including Qatar, Oman, and Pakistan, with focus on maritime traffic, asset unfreezing, and compliance disputes that led to renewed US port blockades. President Trump has publicly described further talks as imminent and a final opportunity for agreement, while Iranian officials have denied direct negotiations and emphasized bilateral channels with Oman. No high-level direct round has been confirmed for the final two weeks of August, leaving outcomes dependent on progress in these mediated channels and any last-minute announcements before the August 31 window closes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$90,878 KL.
Nick Stewart
37%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
25%
Abbas Araghchi
11%
Jared Kushner
10%
Steve Witkoff
10%
Ishaq Dar
10%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
8%
Kazem Gharibabadi
7%
Rafael Grossi
7%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
6%
Pete Hegseth
4%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
3%
Masoud Pezeshkian
3%
Marco Rubio
3%
J.D. Vance
3%
Donald Trump
3%
Ahmad Vahidi
2%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
$90,878 KL.
Nick Stewart
37%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
25%
Abbas Araghchi
11%
Jared Kushner
10%
Steve Witkoff
10%
Ishaq Dar
10%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
8%
Kazem Gharibabadi
7%
Rafael Grossi
7%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
6%
Pete Hegseth
4%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
3%
Masoud Pezeshkian
3%
Marco Rubio
3%
J.D. Vance
3%
Donald Trump
3%
Ahmad Vahidi
2%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomacy remains centered on implementing the June 2026 memorandum of understanding that addressed the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and a ceasefire framework amid the broader conflict that began in February. As of mid-August, indirect technical discussions continue through mediators including Qatar, Oman, and Pakistan, with focus on maritime traffic, asset unfreezing, and compliance disputes that led to renewed US port blockades. President Trump has publicly described further talks as imminent and a final opportunity for agreement, while Iranian officials have denied direct negotiations and emphasized bilateral channels with Oman. No high-level direct round has been confirmed for the final two weeks of August, leaving outcomes dependent on progress in these mediated channels and any last-minute announcements before the August 31 window closes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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