Recent diplomacy centers on the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which launched a 60-day window for talks on the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear issues, and sanctions relief after earlier rounds in Oman, Switzerland, and Pakistan. As of mid-August, direct US-Iran engagement remains stalled amid renewed Hormuz disputes, with Iran insisting on control and fees while the United States maintains a naval blockade and rejects Tehran’s terms. Oman has advanced bilateral talks with Iran on navigation protocols, and Pakistan continues efforts to convene the parties. US officials, including President Trump, describe ongoing or imminent discussions via intermediaries, though Iranian spokesmen frame exchanges as messaging rather than formal negotiations. Key variables through August 31 include whether Oman or Pakistan can broker a new round, the status of technical talks, and any escalation or de-escalation signals that could enable attendance by senior US or Iranian representatives.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$90,878 KL.
Aug 31, 2026
Nick Stewart
37%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
26%
Jared Kushner
11%
Abbas Araghchi
11%
Steve Witkoff
10%
Ishaq Dar
10%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
8%
Kazem Gharibabadi
8%
Rafael Grossi
7%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
6%
Pete Hegseth
4%
Masoud Pezeshkian
3%
Marco Rubio
3%
J.D. Vance
3%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
3%
Donald Trump
2%
Ahmad Vahidi
2%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
$90,878 KL.
Nick Stewart
$36 KL.
37%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$253 KL.
26%
Jared Kushner
$13,340 KL.
11%
Abbas Araghchi
$8,597 KL.
11%
Steve Witkoff
$12,624 KL.
10%
Ishaq Dar
$2,622 KL.
10%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$11,420 KL.
8%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,647 KL.
8%
Rafael Grossi
$881 KL.
7%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,730 KL.
6%
Pete Hegseth
$2,568 KL.
4%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,719 KL.
3%
Marco Rubio
$7,551 KL.
3%
J.D. Vance
$10,868 KL.
3%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$3,194 KL.
3%
Donald Trump
$6,494 KL.
2%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,561 KL.
2%
Esmail Qaani
$456 KL.
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$317 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomacy centers on the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which launched a 60-day window for talks on the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear issues, and sanctions relief after earlier rounds in Oman, Switzerland, and Pakistan. As of mid-August, direct US-Iran engagement remains stalled amid renewed Hormuz disputes, with Iran insisting on control and fees while the United States maintains a naval blockade and rejects Tehran’s terms. Oman has advanced bilateral talks with Iran on navigation protocols, and Pakistan continues efforts to convene the parties. US officials, including President Trump, describe ongoing or imminent discussions via intermediaries, though Iranian spokesmen frame exchanges as messaging rather than formal negotiations. Key variables through August 31 include whether Oman or Pakistan can broker a new round, the status of technical talks, and any escalation or de-escalation signals that could enable attendance by senior US or Iranian representatives.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$90,878Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomacy centers on the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which launched a 60-day window for talks on the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear issues, and sanctions relief after earlier rounds in Oman, Switzerland, and Pakistan. As of mid-August, direct US-Iran engagement remains stalled amid renewed Hormuz disputes, with Iran insisting on control and fees while the United States maintains a naval blockade and rejects Tehran’s terms. Oman has advanced bilateral talks with Iran on navigation protocols, and Pakistan continues efforts to convene the parties. US officials, including President Trump, describe ongoing or imminent discussions via intermediaries, though Iranian spokesmen frame exchanges as messaging rather than formal negotiations. Key variables through August 31 include whether Oman or Pakistan can broker a new round, the status of technical talks, and any escalation or de-escalation signals that could enable attendance by senior US or Iranian representatives.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$90,878Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomacy centers on the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which launched a 60-day window for talks on the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear issues, and sanctions relief after earlier rounds in Oman, Switzerland, and Pakistan. As of mid-August, direct US-Iran engagement remains stalled amid renewed Hormuz disputes, with Iran insisting on control and fees while the United States maintains a naval blockade and rejects Tehran’s terms. Oman has advanced bilateral talks with Iran on navigation protocols, and Pakistan continues efforts to convene the parties. US officials, including President Trump, describe ongoing or imminent discussions via intermediaries, though Iranian spokesmen frame exchanges as messaging rather than formal negotiations. Key variables through August 31 include whether Oman or Pakistan can broker a new round, the status of technical talks, and any escalation or de-escalation signals that could enable attendance by senior US or Iranian representatives.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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