Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito, 76, publicly confirmed in an early August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview that he plans to remain on the bench “for another term,” directly addressing and dampening speculation that followed an erroneous late-June NPR report of his retirement, which the network quickly retracted after Supreme Court confirmation. Traders view this statement, combined with earlier reporting from Fox News and CBS News indicating no immediate plans, as the dominant factor keeping implied probabilities low for an announcement ahead of near-term deadlines. Strategic considerations around Republican Senate control and the opportunity for a younger conservative appointment during Donald Trump’s presidency continue to shape discussion, as do Alito’s age and historical patterns of justices timing departures. The November 2026 midterms and the start of the new Court term represent the next potential catalysts that could influence positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
$3,421,555 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
September 30
3%
December 31
5%
June 30, 2027
34%
$3,421,555 KL.
September 30
$982,037 KL.
3%
December 31
$790,628 KL.
5%
June 30, 2027
$47,226 KL.
34%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito, 76, publicly confirmed in an early August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview that he plans to remain on the bench “for another term,” directly addressing and dampening speculation that followed an erroneous late-June NPR report of his retirement, which the network quickly retracted after Supreme Court confirmation. Traders view this statement, combined with earlier reporting from Fox News and CBS News indicating no immediate plans, as the dominant factor keeping implied probabilities low for an announcement ahead of near-term deadlines. Strategic considerations around Republican Senate control and the opportunity for a younger conservative appointment during Donald Trump’s presidency continue to shape discussion, as do Alito’s age and historical patterns of justices timing departures. The November 2026 midterms and the start of the new Court term represent the next potential catalysts that could influence positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Thị trường mở: Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,421,555Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito, 76, publicly confirmed in an early August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview that he plans to remain on the bench “for another term,” directly addressing and dampening speculation that followed an erroneous late-June NPR report of his retirement, which the network quickly retracted after Supreme Court confirmation. Traders view this statement, combined with earlier reporting from Fox News and CBS News indicating no immediate plans, as the dominant factor keeping implied probabilities low for an announcement ahead of near-term deadlines. Strategic considerations around Republican Senate control and the opportunity for a younger conservative appointment during Donald Trump’s presidency continue to shape discussion, as do Alito’s age and historical patterns of justices timing departures. The November 2026 midterms and the start of the new Court term represent the next potential catalysts that could influence positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Khối lượng
$3,421,555Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito, 76, publicly confirmed in an early August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview that he plans to remain on the bench “for another term,” directly addressing and dampening speculation that followed an erroneous late-June NPR report of his retirement, which the network quickly retracted after Supreme Court confirmation. Traders view this statement, combined with earlier reporting from Fox News and CBS News indicating no immediate plans, as the dominant factor keeping implied probabilities low for an announcement ahead of near-term deadlines. Strategic considerations around Republican Senate control and the opportunity for a younger conservative appointment during Donald Trump’s presidency continue to shape discussion, as do Alito’s age and historical patterns of justices timing departures. The November 2026 midterms and the start of the new Court term represent the next potential catalysts that could influence positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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