The 2026 FIFA World Cup's expanded 48-team format and 104-match schedule create more opportunities for spot-kicks than prior tournaments, with historical in-game conversion rates around 75-80% across World Cups. Early matches have already produced the first penalty, converted by Switzerland's Breel Embolo, while VAR protocols continue to influence awarding decisions on fouls in the box. Proposed IFAB rule changes, including limits on rebounds after saves or posts, could subtly alter follow-up scoring but do not change the core miss count. High-stakes knockout pressure, fatigue from the condensed calendar, and varying goalkeeper quality among qualifiers further shape outcomes, with missed penalties in shootouts counted separately from open-play attempts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWorld Cup: Number of Missed Penalties
$51,346 KL.
5+ missed penalties
82%
10+ missed penalties
55%
15+ missed penalties
19%
20+ missed penalties
6%
25+ missed penalties
3%
30+ missed penalties
2%
35+ missed penalties
2%
40+ missed penalties
2%
45+ missed penalties
1%
50+ missed penalties
1%
$51,346 KL.
5+ missed penalties
82%
10+ missed penalties
55%
15+ missed penalties
19%
20+ missed penalties
6%
25+ missed penalties
3%
30+ missed penalties
2%
35+ missed penalties
2%
40+ missed penalties
2%
45+ missed penalties
1%
50+ missed penalties
1%
Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time are counted. A penalty is counted as missed if it does not result in a goal (missed or saved). Penalty shootout kicks do not count.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jun 11, 2026, 11:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time are counted. A penalty is counted as missed if it does not result in a goal (missed or saved). Penalty shootout kicks do not count.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 FIFA World Cup's expanded 48-team format and 104-match schedule create more opportunities for spot-kicks than prior tournaments, with historical in-game conversion rates around 75-80% across World Cups. Early matches have already produced the first penalty, converted by Switzerland's Breel Embolo, while VAR protocols continue to influence awarding decisions on fouls in the box. Proposed IFAB rule changes, including limits on rebounds after saves or posts, could subtly alter follow-up scoring but do not change the core miss count. High-stakes knockout pressure, fatigue from the condensed calendar, and varying goalkeeper quality among qualifiers further shape outcomes, with missed penalties in shootouts counted separately from open-play attempts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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