The expanded 48-team FIFA World Cup format, with 12 groups of four, shapes advancement probabilities as the top two sides per group plus the eight strongest third-place finishers reach the Round of 32. Groups were finalized after December 2025 draw and March 2026 playoffs, setting matchups that reward consistent results across three fixtures. Opening matches on June 11, including Mexico versus South Africa, launch the group stage where points, goal difference, and goals scored serve as primary tiebreakers. Squad depth, historical group-stage performance, and travel across host nations factor into trader assessments of which teams secure progression amid the larger field.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWorld Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages
$1,506,559 KL.
Spain
98%
Brazil
98%
England
97%
France
97%
Portugal
97%
Germany
96%
Argentina
96%
Belgium
96%
Switzerland
94%
Mexico
92%
Netherlands
92%
Colombia
91%
Ecuador
89%
Uruguay
88%
Morocco
87%
Canada
86%
Norway
86%
USA
84%
Croatia
82%
Austria
81%
Turkiye
80%
Ivory Coast
80%
Japan
79%
Egypt
72%
Senegal
71%
South Korea
70%
Czechia
70%
Scotland
70%
Algeria
66%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
65%
Paraguay
64%
Sweden
63%
Iran
61%
Ghana
51%
Australia
46%
DR Congo
44%
South Africa
39%
Tunisia
38%
Saudi Arabia
37%
Panama
35%
Uzbekistan
32%
New Zealand
31%
Cape Verde
31%
Qatar
21%
Jordan
20%
Iraq
15%
Haiti
13%
Curacao
8%
$1,506,559 KL.
Spain
98%
Brazil
98%
England
97%
France
97%
Portugal
97%
Germany
96%
Argentina
96%
Belgium
96%
Switzerland
94%
Mexico
92%
Netherlands
92%
Colombia
91%
Ecuador
89%
Uruguay
88%
Morocco
87%
Canada
86%
Norway
86%
USA
84%
Croatia
82%
Austria
81%
Turkiye
80%
Ivory Coast
80%
Japan
79%
Egypt
72%
Senegal
71%
South Korea
70%
Czechia
70%
Scotland
70%
Algeria
66%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
65%
Paraguay
64%
Sweden
63%
Iran
61%
Ghana
51%
Australia
46%
DR Congo
44%
South Africa
39%
Tunisia
38%
Saudi Arabia
37%
Panama
35%
Uzbekistan
32%
New Zealand
31%
Cape Verde
31%
Qatar
21%
Jordan
20%
Iraq
15%
Haiti
13%
Curacao
8%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 27, 2026, 10:50 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The expanded 48-team FIFA World Cup format, with 12 groups of four, shapes advancement probabilities as the top two sides per group plus the eight strongest third-place finishers reach the Round of 32. Groups were finalized after December 2025 draw and March 2026 playoffs, setting matchups that reward consistent results across three fixtures. Opening matches on June 11, including Mexico versus South Africa, launch the group stage where points, goal difference, and goals scored serve as primary tiebreakers. Squad depth, historical group-stage performance, and travel across host nations factor into trader assessments of which teams secure progression amid the larger field.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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