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icon for #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?

icon for #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?

ChatGPT 100.0%

Google Gemini <1%

Google <1%

Kling AI: AI Image&Video Maker <1%

Polymarket

$10,117 交易量

ChatGPT 100.0%

Google Gemini <1%

Google <1%

Kling AI: AI Image&Video Maker <1%

Polymarket

$10,117 交易量

icon for Google Gemini

Google Gemini

$969 交易量

No

icon for Google

Google

$695 交易量

No

icon for Kling AI: AI Image&Video Maker

Kling AI: AI Image&Video Maker

$376 交易量

No

icon for Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire

$423 交易量

No

icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$3,109 交易量

Yes

icon for Claude by Anthropic

Claude by Anthropic

$3,185 交易量

No

icon for Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses

$406 交易量

No

icon for CapCut: Photo & Video Editor

CapCut: Photo & Video Editor

$353 交易量

No

icon for Netflix Game Controller

Netflix Game Controller

$600 交易量

No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Live US Apple App Store charts confirm ChatGPT holding the #2 spot among free iPhone apps, trailing only Instagram's newly launched Instants—a Snapchat-style ephemeral photo-sharing app that surged to #1 this week on viral buzz among Gen Z users. This positioning stems from ChatGPT's dominant distribution and recent May 11 update enhancing features like image generation, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability amid AI assistants sweeping the top five (ahead of Claude, Gemini, and Meta AI). Ongoing cultural AI frenzy and massive weekly user base underpin its stability for the May 15 snapshot, though a realistic upset could arise from Claude reclaiming momentum via a boycott backlash or Temu's shopping spikes, but current trajectories make shifts unlikely before close.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
交易量
$10,117
結束日期
2026-05-15
市場開放時間
May 12, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

已提議結果: No

無爭議

最終結果: No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Live US Apple App Store charts confirm ChatGPT holding the #2 spot among free iPhone apps, trailing only Instagram's newly launched Instants—a Snapchat-style ephemeral photo-sharing app that surged to #1 this week on viral buzz among Gen Z users. This positioning stems from ChatGPT's dominant distribution and recent May 11 update enhancing features like image generation, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability amid AI assistants sweeping the top five (ahead of Claude, Gemini, and Meta AI). Ongoing cultural AI frenzy and massive weekly user base underpin its stability for the May 15 snapshot, though a realistic upset could arise from Claude reclaiming momentum via a boycott backlash or Temu's shopping spikes, but current trajectories make shifts unlikely before close.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
交易量
$10,117
結束日期
2026-05-15
市場開放時間
May 12, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

已提議結果: No

無爭議

最終結果: No

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "ChatGPT" at 100%, followed by "Google Gemini" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?" has generated $10.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?" is "ChatGPT" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Google Gemini" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.