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icon for 加州州長選舉：弗雷斯諾縣優勝者
政治·中期

加州州長選舉：弗雷斯諾縣優勝者

icon for 加州州長選舉：弗雷斯諾縣優勝者
政治·中期

加州州長選舉：弗雷斯諾縣優勝者

Polymarket
最新
Polymarket
最新
icon for 史蒂夫·希爾頓

史蒂夫·希爾頓

$2,985 交易量

67%

icon for 哈維爾·貝塞拉

哈維爾·貝塞拉

$2,376 交易量

28%

This market will resolve according to the candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fresno County in the general election for Governor of California, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fresno County.Steve Hilton holds a clear edge in the Fresno County portion of the November 3 California gubernatorial contest, reflecting the county’s location in the more conservative Central Valley and recent local polling that shows him ahead of Xavier Becerra. Trader consensus prices align with historical patterns in which Republican candidates have outperformed their statewide numbers in this agricultural region. Becerra maintains stronger support among Democratic-leaning voters statewide, yet Central Valley sentiment and turnout dynamics continue to favor Hilton’s platform on taxes, housing costs, and regulation. The top-two primary results and subsequent regional surveys have reinforced this split without major shifts in the past month.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fresno County in the general election for Governor of California, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fresno County.This market will resolve according to the candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fresno County in the general election for Governor of California, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fresno County.
交易量
$5,361
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fresno County in the general election for Governor of California, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fresno County.Steve Hilton holds a clear edge in the Fresno County portion of the November 3 California gubernatorial contest, reflecting the county’s location in the more conservative Central Valley and recent local polling that shows him ahead of Xavier Becerra. Trader consensus prices align with historical patterns in which Republican candidates have outperformed their statewide numbers in this agricultural region. Becerra maintains stronger support among Democratic-leaning voters statewide, yet Central Valley sentiment and turnout dynamics continue to favor Hilton’s platform on taxes, housing costs, and regulation. The top-two primary results and subsequent regional surveys have reinforced this split without major shifts in the past month.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fresno County in the general election for Governor of California, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fresno County.This market will resolve according to the candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fresno County in the general election for Governor of California, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fresno County.
交易量
$5,361
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"加州州長選舉：弗雷斯諾縣優勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "史蒂夫·希爾頓" at 67%, followed by "哈維爾·貝塞拉" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 67¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"加州州長選舉：弗雷斯諾縣優勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "加州州長選舉：弗雷斯諾縣優勝者," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "加州州長選舉：弗雷斯諾縣優勝者" is "史蒂夫·希爾頓" at 67%, meaning the market assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "哈維爾·貝塞拉" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "加州州長選舉：弗雷斯諾縣優勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.