Ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including the February 2026 military actions involving the United States, Israel, and Iran, have triggered major supply disruptions through the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and widespread production shut-ins across Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE. These factors pushed Brent crude above $126 per barrel in late April before partial easing amid ceasefire signals and inventory draws. Trader focus now centers on whether sustained output constraints and OPEC dynamics will drive prices toward the 2008 all-time high of roughly $147, or if faster supply recovery, weaker global demand, and diplomatic de-escalation will cap gains. Upcoming developments such as potential Hormuz reopening timelines and any new sanctions or military postures could shift near-term volatility.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$246,763 交易量
2026-09-30
May 31
3%
June 30
14%
September 30
36%
December 31
45%
$246,763 交易量
May 31
$166,869 交易量
3%
June 30
$20,697 交易量
14%
September 30
$34,009 交易量
36%
December 31
$25,188 交易量
45%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including the February 2026 military actions involving the United States, Israel, and Iran, have triggered major supply disruptions through the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and widespread production shut-ins across Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE. These factors pushed Brent crude above $126 per barrel in late April before partial easing amid ceasefire signals and inventory draws. Trader focus now centers on whether sustained output constraints and OPEC dynamics will drive prices toward the 2008 all-time high of roughly $147, or if faster supply recovery, weaker global demand, and diplomatic de-escalation will cap gains. Upcoming developments such as potential Hormuz reopening timelines and any new sanctions or military postures could shift near-term volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市場開放時間： Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
交易量
$246,763結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including the February 2026 military actions involving the United States, Israel, and Iran, have triggered major supply disruptions through the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and widespread production shut-ins across Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE. These factors pushed Brent crude above $126 per barrel in late April before partial easing amid ceasefire signals and inventory draws. Trader focus now centers on whether sustained output constraints and OPEC dynamics will drive prices toward the 2008 all-time high of roughly $147, or if faster supply recovery, weaker global demand, and diplomatic de-escalation will cap gains. Upcoming developments such as potential Hormuz reopening timelines and any new sanctions or military postures could shift near-term volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
交易量
$246,763結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including the February 2026 military actions involving the United States, Israel, and Iran, have triggered major supply disruptions through the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and widespread production shut-ins across Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE. These factors pushed Brent crude above $126 per barrel in late April before partial easing amid ceasefire signals and inventory draws. Trader focus now centers on whether sustained output constraints and OPEC dynamics will drive prices toward the 2008 all-time high of roughly $147, or if faster supply recovery, weaker global demand, and diplomatic de-escalation will cap gains. Upcoming developments such as potential Hormuz reopening timelines and any new sanctions or military postures could shift near-term volatility.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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