Skip to main content
icon for Will gas hit __ by end of May?
金融·油

Will gas hit __ by end of May?

icon for Will gas hit __ by end of May?
金融·油

Will gas hit __ by end of May?

5月 31

5月 31

$139,951 交易量

2026-05-31
Polymarket

$139,951 交易量

Polymarket

↑ $5.00

$21,513 交易量

14%

↑ $4.70

$11,417 交易量

52%

↑ $4.60

$11,506 交易量

67%

↓ $4.25

$2,466 交易量

13%

↓ $4.20

$1,860 交易量

16%

↓ $4.10

$796 交易量

13%

↓ $4.00

$884 交易量

9%

↓ $3.75

$1,486 交易量

3%

↓ $3.50

$6,945 交易量

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Elevated U.S. gasoline prices near $4.53 per gallon nationally as of mid-May 2026 reflect the dominant influence of geopolitical tensions stemming from the U.S.-Iran conflict, which has lifted crude oil benchmarks above $111 per barrel and added a substantial risk premium to refined products. Spring refinery maintenance has further tightened domestic supply, while strong seasonal driving demand supports the recent surge from April levels around $4.26. Market-implied odds on Polymarket contracts tracking whether prices reach specified thresholds by May 31 incorporate these factors, with traders pricing in continued elevation absent a rapid de-escalation. Upcoming catalysts include any shifts in OPEC+ output discipline, potential diplomatic resolutions, or weekly EIA inventory releases that could alter near-term supply expectations and volatility in the final two weeks of the month.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
交易量
$139,951
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Elevated U.S. gasoline prices near $4.53 per gallon nationally as of mid-May 2026 reflect the dominant influence of geopolitical tensions stemming from the U.S.-Iran conflict, which has lifted crude oil benchmarks above $111 per barrel and added a substantial risk premium to refined products. Spring refinery maintenance has further tightened domestic supply, while strong seasonal driving demand supports the recent surge from April levels around $4.26. Market-implied odds on Polymarket contracts tracking whether prices reach specified thresholds by May 31 incorporate these factors, with traders pricing in continued elevation absent a rapid de-escalation. Upcoming catalysts include any shifts in OPEC+ output discipline, potential diplomatic resolutions, or weekly EIA inventory releases that could alter near-term supply expectations and volatility in the final two weeks of the month.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
交易量
$139,951
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will gas hit __ by end of May?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↑ $4.50" at 100%, followed by "↑ $4.45" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will gas hit __ by end of May?" has generated $140K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will gas hit __ by end of May?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will gas hit __ by end of May?" is "↑ $4.50" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↑ $4.45" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will gas hit __ by end of May?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.