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地緣政治·阿聯酋

阿聯酋是否會在2026年退出海灣合作委員會？

icon for 阿聯酋是否會在2026年退出海灣合作委員會？
地緣政治·阿聯酋

阿聯酋是否會在2026年退出海灣合作委員會？

是

8% 機率
Polymarket

$14,441 交易量

是

8% 機率
Polymarket

$14,441 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.UAE officials have explicitly ruled out any plans to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council despite the country's May 2026 exit from OPEC, which highlighted tensions with Saudi Arabia over oil production quotas and regional influence. A senior UAE representative stated on April 29 that the country is reassessing its role in various multilateral bodies but has no intention of leaving additional organizations, including the GCC. The UAE maintained participation in recent GCC summits focused on security cooperation amid regional conflicts, and member states continue joint economic and infrastructure initiatives. These factors, combined with the structural barriers to exiting a longstanding regional bloc, underpin traders' strong consensus against a UAE departure from the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.

Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$14,441
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.UAE officials have explicitly ruled out any plans to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council despite the country's May 2026 exit from OPEC, which highlighted tensions with Saudi Arabia over oil production quotas and regional influence. A senior UAE representative stated on April 29 that the country is reassessing its role in various multilateral bodies but has no intention of leaving additional organizations, including the GCC. The UAE maintained participation in recent GCC summits focused on security cooperation amid regional conflicts, and member states continue joint economic and infrastructure initiatives. These factors, combined with the structural barriers to exiting a longstanding regional bloc, underpin traders' strong consensus against a UAE departure from the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.

Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$14,441
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"阿聯酋是否會在2026年退出海灣合作委員會？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "阿聯酋會在2026年退出海灣合作委員會嗎？" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 8¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 8% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "阿聯酋是否會在2026年退出海灣合作委員會？" has generated $14.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "阿聯酋是否會在2026年退出海灣合作委員會？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "阿聯酋是否會在2026年退出海灣合作委員會？" is "阿聯酋會在2026年退出海灣合作委員會嗎？" at just 8%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "阿聯酋是否會在2026年退出海灣合作委員會？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.