Ongoing diplomatic engagement and economic cooperation between the UAE and Qatar continue to underpin the strong trader consensus against severance of relations through 2026. High-level meetings in early May 2026, including the seventh session of the Joint Supreme Committee, produced multiple agreements on trade, technology, and security coordination, while UAE leadership publicly reaffirmed solidarity with Qatar amid shared regional pressures. These steps build directly on the intact Al-Ula reconciliation framework, with both governments maintaining aligned positions on Gulf security and mutual economic interests. No recent developments indicate emerging triggers for rupture, leaving the implied probability of maintained ties near 93 percent as a reflection of sustained bilateral momentum.