OPEC's reported crude oil output for May 2026 faces sharp downward pressure from the United Arab Emirates' formal exit effective May 1, which removes roughly 3.4 million barrels per day from the group's baseline. Ongoing closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid regional conflict has forced additional Gulf curtailments, with OPEC+ secondary-source data showing April production already down more than 1.7 million barrels per day from March levels and over 30 percent below pre-conflict figures. The remaining seven core producers agreed to a modest 206,000 barrels-per-day quota increase for May, followed by a further 188,000 barrels-per-day adjustment in June, though actual deliveries remain limited by infrastructure and compliance realities. Traders monitor these physical constraints and the June OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, which will publish the official secondary-source average for the month.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
2026-06-11
18 Million
16%
19 Million
12%
20 Million
12%
21 Million
2%
$5,673 交易量
18 Million
$714 交易量
16%
19 Million
$1,169 交易量
12%
20 Million
$1,272 交易量
12%
21 Million
$2,520 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OPEC crude oil production (barrels per day) for the month of May, 2026, as reported in the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report is scheduled to be published on June 11, 2026
The relevant figure is the Total OPEC crude oil production for the month of May 2026, as reported by secondary sources. This figure is typically published in thousands of barrels per day in the row labeled “Total OPEC” of Table 5-7 of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d). The figure will be converted to barrels per day for resolution.
Crude oil production for non-OPEC (including OPEC+) countries will not be considered.
If the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for June 2026 is not released by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, or if it is released and the relevant data is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, typically published at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of specificity that will be used to resolve this market.OPEC's reported crude oil output for May 2026 faces sharp downward pressure from the United Arab Emirates' formal exit effective May 1, which removes roughly 3.4 million barrels per day from the group's baseline. Ongoing closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid regional conflict has forced additional Gulf curtailments, with OPEC+ secondary-source data showing April production already down more than 1.7 million barrels per day from March levels and over 30 percent below pre-conflict figures. The remaining seven core producers agreed to a modest 206,000 barrels-per-day quota increase for May, followed by a further 188,000 barrels-per-day adjustment in June, though actual deliveries remain limited by infrastructure and compliance realities. Traders monitor these physical constraints and the June OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, which will publish the official secondary-source average for the month.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OPEC crude oil production (barrels per day) for the month of May, 2026, as reported in the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report is scheduled to be published on June 11, 2026
The relevant figure is the Total OPEC crude oil production for the month of May 2026, as reported by secondary sources. This figure is typically published in thousands of barrels per day in the row labeled “Total OPEC” of Table 5-7 of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d). The figure will be converted to barrels per day for resolution.
Crude oil production for non-OPEC (including OPEC+) countries will not be considered.
If the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for June 2026 is not released by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, or if it is released and the relevant data is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, typically published at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of specificity that will be used to resolve this market.
The June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report is scheduled to be published on June 11, 2026
The relevant figure is the Total OPEC crude oil production for the month of May 2026, as reported by secondary sources. This figure is typically published in thousands of barrels per day in the row labeled “Total OPEC” of Table 5-7 of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d). The figure will be converted to barrels per day for resolution.
Crude oil production for non-OPEC (including OPEC+) countries will not be considered.
If the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for June 2026 is not released by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, or if it is released and the relevant data is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, typically published at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of specificity that will be used to resolve this market.
市場開放時間： Apr 28, 2026, 7:05 PM ET
交易量
$5,673結束日期
2026-06-11市場開放時間
Apr 28, 2026, 7:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OPEC crude oil production (barrels per day) for the month of May, 2026, as reported in the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report is scheduled to be published on June 11, 2026
The relevant figure is the Total OPEC crude oil production for the month of May 2026, as reported by secondary sources. This figure is typically published in thousands of barrels per day in the row labeled “Total OPEC” of Table 5-7 of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d). The figure will be converted to barrels per day for resolution.
Crude oil production for non-OPEC (including OPEC+) countries will not be considered.
If the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for June 2026 is not released by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, or if it is released and the relevant data is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, typically published at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of specificity that will be used to resolve this market.OPEC's reported crude oil output for May 2026 faces sharp downward pressure from the United Arab Emirates' formal exit effective May 1, which removes roughly 3.4 million barrels per day from the group's baseline. Ongoing closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid regional conflict has forced additional Gulf curtailments, with OPEC+ secondary-source data showing April production already down more than 1.7 million barrels per day from March levels and over 30 percent below pre-conflict figures. The remaining seven core producers agreed to a modest 206,000 barrels-per-day quota increase for May, followed by a further 188,000 barrels-per-day adjustment in June, though actual deliveries remain limited by infrastructure and compliance realities. Traders monitor these physical constraints and the June OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, which will publish the official secondary-source average for the month.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OPEC crude oil production (barrels per day) for the month of May, 2026, as reported in the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report is scheduled to be published on June 11, 2026
The relevant figure is the Total OPEC crude oil production for the month of May 2026, as reported by secondary sources. This figure is typically published in thousands of barrels per day in the row labeled “Total OPEC” of Table 5-7 of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d). The figure will be converted to barrels per day for resolution.
Crude oil production for non-OPEC (including OPEC+) countries will not be considered.
If the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for June 2026 is not released by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, or if it is released and the relevant data is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, typically published at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of specificity that will be used to resolve this market.
The June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report is scheduled to be published on June 11, 2026
The relevant figure is the Total OPEC crude oil production for the month of May 2026, as reported by secondary sources. This figure is typically published in thousands of barrels per day in the row labeled “Total OPEC” of Table 5-7 of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d). The figure will be converted to barrels per day for resolution.
Crude oil production for non-OPEC (including OPEC+) countries will not be considered.
If the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for June 2026 is not released by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, or if it is released and the relevant data is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, typically published at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of specificity that will be used to resolve this market.
交易量
$5,673結束日期
2026-06-11市場開放時間
Apr 28, 2026, 7:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OPEC's reported crude oil output for May 2026 faces sharp downward pressure from the United Arab Emirates' formal exit effective May 1, which removes roughly 3.4 million barrels per day from the group's baseline. Ongoing closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid regional conflict has forced additional Gulf curtailments, with OPEC+ secondary-source data showing April production already down more than 1.7 million barrels per day from March levels and over 30 percent below pre-conflict figures. The remaining seven core producers agreed to a modest 206,000 barrels-per-day quota increase for May, followed by a further 188,000 barrels-per-day adjustment in June, though actual deliveries remain limited by infrastructure and compliance realities. Traders monitor these physical constraints and the June OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, which will publish the official secondary-source average for the month.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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