Mercedes' commanding lead in the 2026 constructors' championship, built on four early-season victories and a substantial points advantage, underpins the 74.5% implied probability reflected in current trader pricing. The Brackley squad's W17 has delivered reliable pace and strong results from both George Russell and Kimi Antonelli, creating separation from Ferrari and McLaren in the standings after the opening rounds. McLaren's 15.7% pricing captures its consistent podium threat and development trajectory, while Ferrari sits at 5.5% amid solid but less dominant showings. Red Bull and the rest of the field remain at minimal implied probabilities due to larger deficits and fewer recent competitive results. Upcoming upgrades ahead of the Canadian Grand Prix and potential regulatory adjustments could influence late-season momentum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於梅賽德斯 75%
麥拉倫 15.7%
法拉利 6%
紅牛車隊 1.4%
$18,888,073 交易量
$18,888,073 交易量
2026-12-06
梅賽德斯
75%
麥拉倫
16%
法拉利
6%
紅牛車隊
1%
威廉斯
1%
阿斯頓馬丁
1%
奧迪
1%
凱迪拉克
1%
Racing Bulls
1%
哈斯
1%
Alpine
1%
梅賽德斯 75%
麥拉倫 15.7%
法拉利 6%
紅牛車隊 1.4%
$18,888,073 交易量
$18,888,073 交易量
2026-12-06
梅賽德斯
$647,988 交易量
75%
麥拉倫
$1,442,403 交易量
16%
法拉利
$324,495 交易量
6%
紅牛車隊
$559,140 交易量
1%
威廉斯
$2,536,951 交易量
1%
阿斯頓馬丁
$2,119,703 交易量
1%
奧迪
$2,126,677 交易量
1%
凱迪拉克
$2,423,590 交易量
1%
Racing Bulls
$2,001,213 交易量
1%
哈斯
$2,333,312 交易量
1%
Alpine
$2,372,778 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes' commanding lead in the 2026 constructors' championship, built on four early-season victories and a substantial points advantage, underpins the 74.5% implied probability reflected in current trader pricing. The Brackley squad's W17 has delivered reliable pace and strong results from both George Russell and Kimi Antonelli, creating separation from Ferrari and McLaren in the standings after the opening rounds. McLaren's 15.7% pricing captures its consistent podium threat and development trajectory, while Ferrari sits at 5.5% amid solid but less dominant showings. Red Bull and the rest of the field remain at minimal implied probabilities due to larger deficits and fewer recent competitive results. Upcoming upgrades ahead of the Canadian Grand Prix and potential regulatory adjustments could influence late-season momentum.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
市場開放時間： Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
交易量
$18,888,073結束日期
2026-12-06市場開放時間
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes' commanding lead in the 2026 constructors' championship, built on four early-season victories and a substantial points advantage, underpins the 74.5% implied probability reflected in current trader pricing. The Brackley squad's W17 has delivered reliable pace and strong results from both George Russell and Kimi Antonelli, creating separation from Ferrari and McLaren in the standings after the opening rounds. McLaren's 15.7% pricing captures its consistent podium threat and development trajectory, while Ferrari sits at 5.5% amid solid but less dominant showings. Red Bull and the rest of the field remain at minimal implied probabilities due to larger deficits and fewer recent competitive results. Upcoming upgrades ahead of the Canadian Grand Prix and potential regulatory adjustments could influence late-season momentum.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
交易量
$18,888,073結束日期
2026-12-06市場開放時間
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes' commanding lead in the 2026 constructors' championship, built on four early-season victories and a substantial points advantage, underpins the 74.5% implied probability reflected in current trader pricing. The Brackley squad's W17 has delivered reliable pace and strong results from both George Russell and Kimi Antonelli, creating separation from Ferrari and McLaren in the standings after the opening rounds. McLaren's 15.7% pricing captures its consistent podium threat and development trajectory, while Ferrari sits at 5.5% amid solid but less dominant showings. Red Bull and the rest of the field remain at minimal implied probabilities due to larger deficits and fewer recent competitive results. Upcoming upgrades ahead of the Canadian Grand Prix and potential regulatory adjustments could influence late-season momentum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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