**The tight but consolidating contest between Republican nominee Rick Jackson and Democratic nominee Keisha Lance Bottoms drives the high 89% implied probability for an outright first-round winner.** Recent September polling, including Rasmussen Reports showing Jackson at 48% to Bottoms’ 45% with 7% undecided or other, reflects a low third-party presence and strong partisan consolidation typical of Georgia’s two-candidate general elections. Historical patterns in the state’s gubernatorial races further support that the eventual leader reaches a majority once undecided voters break. With the November 3 election approaching and no major late developments fracturing the field, traders assess the risk of a runoff as limited despite the overall tossup nature of the race.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
90% 機率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
是
90% 機率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
The first round of the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Governor election.**The tight but consolidating contest between Republican nominee Rick Jackson and Democratic nominee Keisha Lance Bottoms drives the high 89% implied probability for an outright first-round winner.** Recent September polling, including Rasmussen Reports showing Jackson at 48% to Bottoms’ 45% with 7% undecided or other, reflects a low third-party presence and strong partisan consolidation typical of Georgia’s two-candidate general elections. Historical patterns in the state’s gubernatorial races further support that the eventual leader reaches a majority once undecided voters break. With the November 3 election approaching and no major late developments fracturing the field, traders assess the risk of a runoff as limited despite the overall tossup nature of the race.
The first round of the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Governor election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Governor election.
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 5:16 PM ET
交易量
$2,709結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 5:16 PM ETThe first round of the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Governor election.**The tight but consolidating contest between Republican nominee Rick Jackson and Democratic nominee Keisha Lance Bottoms drives the high 89% implied probability for an outright first-round winner.** Recent September polling, including Rasmussen Reports showing Jackson at 48% to Bottoms’ 45% with 7% undecided or other, reflects a low third-party presence and strong partisan consolidation typical of Georgia’s two-candidate general elections. Historical patterns in the state’s gubernatorial races further support that the eventual leader reaches a majority once undecided voters break. With the November 3 election approaching and no major late developments fracturing the field, traders assess the risk of a runoff as limited despite the overall tossup nature of the race.
The first round of the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Governor election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Governor election.
交易量
$2,709結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 5:16 PM ET**The tight but consolidating contest between Republican nominee Rick Jackson and Democratic nominee Keisha Lance Bottoms drives the high 89% implied probability for an outright first-round winner.** Recent September polling, including Rasmussen Reports showing Jackson at 48% to Bottoms’ 45% with 7% undecided or other, reflects a low third-party presence and strong partisan consolidation typical of Georgia’s two-candidate general elections. Historical patterns in the state’s gubernatorial races further support that the eventual leader reaches a majority once undecided voters break. With the November 3 election approaching and no major late developments fracturing the field, traders assess the risk of a runoff as limited despite the overall tossup nature of the race.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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