Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a maximum temperature of 29–31°C for Beijing on September 2, 2026, under mostly sunny to clear conditions with light southerly or variable winds and negligible precipitation risk. This reflects the typical early-autumn transition period, when regional high pressure and subsiding air suppress strong diurnal heating while residual summer warmth persists; historical climatology places early-September highs near 28–30°C. Model consensus across sources shows limited spread, with no imminent frontal passages or significant moisture advection to alter the thermal profile. Trader emphasis on 30–31°C outcomes aligns with these stable guidance trends, though small revisions in boundary-layer mixing or insolation could still shift the exact peak within the 29–32°C range ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日北京最高溫度?
31°C 42%
30°C 28%
32°C 17%
29°C 10%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
10%
30°C
28%
31°C
42%
32°C
17%
33°C
4%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 42%
30°C 28%
32°C 17%
29°C 10%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
10%
30°C
28%
31°C
42%
32°C
17%
33°C
4%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a maximum temperature of 29–31°C for Beijing on September 2, 2026, under mostly sunny to clear conditions with light southerly or variable winds and negligible precipitation risk. This reflects the typical early-autumn transition period, when regional high pressure and subsiding air suppress strong diurnal heating while residual summer warmth persists; historical climatology places early-September highs near 28–30°C. Model consensus across sources shows limited spread, with no imminent frontal passages or significant moisture advection to alter the thermal profile. Trader emphasis on 30–31°C outcomes aligns with these stable guidance trends, though small revisions in boundary-layer mixing or insolation could still shift the exact peak within the 29–32°C range ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions