Current forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a daily minimum near 19–20°C for Beijing on September 2 under clear skies and light southerly flow, supporting radiative cooling overnight but limited by urban heat retention and mild advection. Trader positioning remains tightly split between 17°C and 13°C or below because ensembles show modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures and potential for slightly stronger northerly shifts or clearer radiational losses not fully captured yet. Historical early-September climatology (typical minima 15–18°C) adds context for the lower tail, while the absence of strong frontal systems keeps probabilities balanced until the next model cycle refines steering patterns and dew-point forecasts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日北京最低溫度？
9月2日北京最低溫度？
13°C or below 89%
19°C 86%
20°C 83%
18°C 72%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
13°C or below
89%
14°C
42%
15°C
71%
16°C
31%
17°C
49%
18°C
72%
19°C
86%
20°C
83%
21°C
63%
22°C
23%
23°C or higher
48%
13°C or below 89%
19°C 86%
20°C 83%
18°C 72%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
13°C or below
$5 交易量
89%
14°C
$0 交易量
42%
15°C
$36 交易量
71%
16°C
$68 交易量
31%
17°C
$0 交易量
49%
18°C
$0 交易量
72%
19°C
$0 交易量
86%
20°C
$0 交易量
83%
21°C
$20 交易量
63%
22°C
$217 交易量
23%
23°C or higher
$5 交易量
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a daily minimum near 19–20°C for Beijing on September 2 under clear skies and light southerly flow, supporting radiative cooling overnight but limited by urban heat retention and mild advection. Trader positioning remains tightly split between 17°C and 13°C or below because ensembles show modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures and potential for slightly stronger northerly shifts or clearer radiational losses not fully captured yet. Historical early-September climatology (typical minima 15–18°C) adds context for the lower tail, while the absence of strong frontal systems keeps probabilities balanced until the next model cycle refines steering patterns and dew-point forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$351結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a daily minimum near 19–20°C for Beijing on September 2 under clear skies and light southerly flow, supporting radiative cooling overnight but limited by urban heat retention and mild advection. Trader positioning remains tightly split between 17°C and 13°C or below because ensembles show modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures and potential for slightly stronger northerly shifts or clearer radiational losses not fully captured yet. Historical early-September climatology (typical minima 15–18°C) adds context for the lower tail, while the absence of strong frontal systems keeps probabilities balanced until the next model cycle refines steering patterns and dew-point forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$351結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a daily minimum near 19–20°C for Beijing on September 2 under clear skies and light southerly flow, supporting radiative cooling overnight but limited by urban heat retention and mild advection. Trader positioning remains tightly split between 17°C and 13°C or below because ensembles show modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures and potential for slightly stronger northerly shifts or clearer radiational losses not fully captured yet. Historical early-September climatology (typical minima 15–18°C) adds context for the lower tail, while the absence of strong frontal systems keeps probabilities balanced until the next model cycle refines steering patterns and dew-point forecasts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions