Forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate an overnight low near 18–20°C for Toronto on September 2, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. This setup, combined with moderate southerly winds and high humidity, supports the market's tight clustering around 20°C (58.5% implied) while leaving room for 15°C or below (49.5%) if clearer breaks allow more cooling. Historical September 2 averages show a 16°C low, but current conditions reflect a warmer-than-normal pattern with elevated dew points suppressing the daily minimum. Traders weigh model consensus on timing of any clearing against typical late-summer variability, with resolution hinging on official Environment Canada observations at Pearson Airport.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日多倫多最低溫度?
15°C或以下 99%
21°C 99%
25°C或更高 99%
17°C 82%
15°C或以下
99%
16°C
14%
17°C
82%
18°C
82%
19°C
39%
20°C
51%
21°C
99%
22°C
47%
23°C
82%
24°C
1%
25°C或更高
99%
15°C或以下 99%
21°C 99%
25°C或更高 99%
17°C 82%
15°C或以下
99%
16°C
14%
17°C
82%
18°C
82%
19°C
39%
20°C
51%
21°C
99%
22°C
47%
23°C
82%
24°C
1%
25°C或更高
99%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 31, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate an overnight low near 18–20°C for Toronto on September 2, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. This setup, combined with moderate southerly winds and high humidity, supports the market's tight clustering around 20°C (58.5% implied) while leaving room for 15°C or below (49.5%) if clearer breaks allow more cooling. Historical September 2 averages show a 16°C low, but current conditions reflect a warmer-than-normal pattern with elevated dew points suppressing the daily minimum. Traders weigh model consensus on timing of any clearing against typical late-summer variability, with resolution hinging on official Environment Canada observations at Pearson Airport.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions