Recent forecasts from multiple models and local meteorological services indicate Shenzhen's September 1 high will likely fall in the 30–32°C range, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 31°C (35%) and 32°C (24%). Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity, possible scattered showers or thunderstorms, and moderate northerly winds, are expected to limit extreme heating near the historical early-September average of about 31–32°C. Recent observations show persistent cloud cover and rainfall patterns that have kept daily maxima close to these levels, with no strong heat ridge or clear-sky setup evident in the latest runs. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread of model consensus against typical day-to-day variability in coastal Guangdong. Official station readings from the China Meteorological Administration on September 1 will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日深圳最高溫度？
9月1日深圳最高溫度？
31°C 35%
32°C 24%
30°C 19%
34°C or higher 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
12%
30°C
19%
31°C
31%
32°C
24%
33°C
13%
34°C or higher
19%
31°C 35%
32°C 24%
30°C 19%
34°C or higher 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
24°C or below
$296 交易量
<1%
25°C
$40 交易量
<1%
26°C
$70 交易量
<1%
27°C
$63 交易量
1%
28°C
$0 交易量
3%
29°C
$2 交易量
12%
30°C
$201 交易量
19%
31°C
$211 交易量
31%
32°C
$0 交易量
24%
33°C
$0 交易量
13%
34°C or higher
$0 交易量
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models and local meteorological services indicate Shenzhen's September 1 high will likely fall in the 30–32°C range, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 31°C (35%) and 32°C (24%). Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity, possible scattered showers or thunderstorms, and moderate northerly winds, are expected to limit extreme heating near the historical early-September average of about 31–32°C. Recent observations show persistent cloud cover and rainfall patterns that have kept daily maxima close to these levels, with no strong heat ridge or clear-sky setup evident in the latest runs. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread of model consensus against typical day-to-day variability in coastal Guangdong. Official station readings from the China Meteorological Administration on September 1 will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$883結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models and local meteorological services indicate Shenzhen's September 1 high will likely fall in the 30–32°C range, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 31°C (35%) and 32°C (24%). Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity, possible scattered showers or thunderstorms, and moderate northerly winds, are expected to limit extreme heating near the historical early-September average of about 31–32°C. Recent observations show persistent cloud cover and rainfall patterns that have kept daily maxima close to these levels, with no strong heat ridge or clear-sky setup evident in the latest runs. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread of model consensus against typical day-to-day variability in coastal Guangdong. Official station readings from the China Meteorological Administration on September 1 will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$883結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models and local meteorological services indicate Shenzhen's September 1 high will likely fall in the 30–32°C range, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 31°C (35%) and 32°C (24%). Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity, possible scattered showers or thunderstorms, and moderate northerly winds, are expected to limit extreme heating near the historical early-September average of about 31–32°C. Recent observations show persistent cloud cover and rainfall patterns that have kept daily maxima close to these levels, with no strong heat ridge or clear-sky setup evident in the latest runs. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread of model consensus against typical day-to-day variability in coastal Guangdong. Official station readings from the China Meteorological Administration on September 1 will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions