Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a high likelihood of thunderstorms and heavy rain on August 30, driven by persistent subtropical moisture, high humidity levels near 75-90%, and weak steering winds that favor convective activity. This cloud cover and precipitation typically limit daytime heating through reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling, supporting maximum temperatures clustered around 30-32°C according to multiple model runs. Trader consensus on 32-34°C outcomes reflects model spread in timing of peak heating before storms develop, alongside historical late-August baselines near 33°C when drier conditions prevail. Upcoming National Meteorological Center updates and refined numerical weather prediction runs will likely clarify whether brief clearing allows a higher peak or sustained rain caps it lower.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日廣州最高溫度?
33°C 26%
32°C 22%
34°C 22%
31°C 12%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
6%
31°C
16%
32°C
22%
33°C
26%
34°C
22%
35°C
6%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
<1%
33°C 26%
32°C 22%
34°C 22%
31°C 12%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
6%
31°C
16%
32°C
22%
33°C
26%
34°C
22%
35°C
6%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a high likelihood of thunderstorms and heavy rain on August 30, driven by persistent subtropical moisture, high humidity levels near 75-90%, and weak steering winds that favor convective activity. This cloud cover and precipitation typically limit daytime heating through reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling, supporting maximum temperatures clustered around 30-32°C according to multiple model runs. Trader consensus on 32-34°C outcomes reflects model spread in timing of peak heating before storms develop, alongside historical late-August baselines near 33°C when drier conditions prevail. Upcoming National Meteorological Center updates and refined numerical weather prediction runs will likely clarify whether brief clearing allows a higher peak or sustained rain caps it lower.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions