Recent model runs and surface observations indicate Paris will likely peak near 22–23°C today amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate southwesterly flow off the Atlantic that suppresses full solar insolation. These conditions keep daytime maxima below the late-August climatological average of roughly 24°C while steering the market-implied odds toward the two leading outcomes. Minor differences in afternoon clearing timing or localized wind gusts could nudge the high to 21°C or 24°C, creating the tight spread between those probabilities; longer-range ensemble guidance shows limited upside potential above 24°C given ongoing moisture and stable stratification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日巴黎最高溫度？
8月28日巴黎最高溫度？
22°C 41%
23°C 36%
21°C 12%
24°C 10%
最新
$30,127 交易量
最新
$30,127 交易量
2026-08-28
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
12%
22°C
41%
23°C
36%
24°C
10%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 41%
23°C 36%
21°C 12%
24°C 10%
最新
$30,127 交易量
最新
$30,127 交易量
2026-08-28
16°C or below
$1,379 交易量
<1%
17°C
$1,302 交易量
<1%
18°C
$1,472 交易量
<1%
19°C
$603 交易量
1%
20°C
$1,835 交易量
5%
21°C
$4,831 交易量
12%
22°C
$7,376 交易量
41%
23°C
$4,465 交易量
36%
24°C
$4,026 交易量
10%
25°C
$1,801 交易量
2%
26°C or higher
$1,037 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs and surface observations indicate Paris will likely peak near 22–23°C today amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate southwesterly flow off the Atlantic that suppresses full solar insolation. These conditions keep daytime maxima below the late-August climatological average of roughly 24°C while steering the market-implied odds toward the two leading outcomes. Minor differences in afternoon clearing timing or localized wind gusts could nudge the high to 21°C or 24°C, creating the tight spread between those probabilities; longer-range ensemble guidance shows limited upside potential above 24°C given ongoing moisture and stable stratification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$30,127結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs and surface observations indicate Paris will likely peak near 22–23°C today amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate southwesterly flow off the Atlantic that suppresses full solar insolation. These conditions keep daytime maxima below the late-August climatological average of roughly 24°C while steering the market-implied odds toward the two leading outcomes. Minor differences in afternoon clearing timing or localized wind gusts could nudge the high to 21°C or 24°C, creating the tight spread between those probabilities; longer-range ensemble guidance shows limited upside potential above 24°C given ongoing moisture and stable stratification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$30,127結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent model runs and surface observations indicate Paris will likely peak near 22–23°C today amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate southwesterly flow off the Atlantic that suppresses full solar insolation. These conditions keep daytime maxima below the late-August climatological average of roughly 24°C while steering the market-implied odds toward the two leading outcomes. Minor differences in afternoon clearing timing or localized wind gusts could nudge the high to 21°C or 24°C, creating the tight spread between those probabilities; longer-range ensemble guidance shows limited upside potential above 24°C given ongoing moisture and stable stratification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions