Recent marine air influence and persistent cloud cover from scattered showers have kept overnight radiative cooling modest in Seattle, with forecasts centering the daily low in the mid-50s. Light southerly winds and high humidity from the incoming system limit temperature drops after sunset, aligning with climatological norms near 56 °F while preventing deeper cooling that would favor the 52-53 °F bin. Model consensus shows minor timing differences in any late-day clearing or wind shifts, creating the tight market split between the two leading outcomes and low probability assigned to extremes below 52 °F or above 55 °F. Official observations from NWS stations will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period ends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日西雅圖的最低溫度?
54-55華氏度 80%
52-53°F 39%
48-49°F 14%
50-51°F 8%
$626 交易量
$626 交易量
47°F或以下
7%
48-49°F
14%
50-51°F
8%
52-53°F
39%
54-55華氏度
80%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
<1%
66°F或以上
<1%
54-55華氏度 80%
52-53°F 39%
48-49°F 14%
50-51°F 8%
$626 交易量
$626 交易量
47°F或以下
7%
48-49°F
14%
50-51°F
8%
52-53°F
39%
54-55華氏度
80%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
<1%
66°F或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent marine air influence and persistent cloud cover from scattered showers have kept overnight radiative cooling modest in Seattle, with forecasts centering the daily low in the mid-50s. Light southerly winds and high humidity from the incoming system limit temperature drops after sunset, aligning with climatological norms near 56 °F while preventing deeper cooling that would favor the 52-53 °F bin. Model consensus shows minor timing differences in any late-day clearing or wind shifts, creating the tight market split between the two leading outcomes and low probability assigned to extremes below 52 °F or above 55 °F. Official observations from NWS stations will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period ends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions