**Forecast models and official guidance from the National Weather Service and major meteorological services currently center the overnight low for Seattle on August 31 in the mid-to-upper 50s °F, aligning with the market’s leading bins of 54–55 °F (56.5 % implied probability) and 56–57 °F (42.0 %).** This positioning reflects a transition from recent cooler, showery conditions driven by an exiting upper-level low and incoming ridge. The marine layer and northerly flow are expected to limit daytime heating while permitting moderate radiational cooling overnight under partly cloudy skies. Historical climatology for August 31 shows an average low of 55.4 °F, providing a baseline against which current model consensus sits slightly above normal but within the typical late-summer range. No significant warm-air advection or strong cold-air outbreak is indicated in the latest model runs, keeping probabilities concentrated in the 54–57 °F window. Key upcoming data points include the next NWS forecast updates and any shifts in the approaching trough, which could nudge overnight minima if cloud cover or wind patterns change.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日西雅圖的最低溫度？
8月31日西雅圖的最低溫度？
58-59°F 80%
50-51°F 71%
48-49°F 68%
60-61°F 66%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
華氏47度或以下
38%
48-49°F
68%
50-51°F
71%
52-53°F
36%
54-55°F
56%
56-57°F
42%
58-59°F
80%
60-61°F
66%
62-63°F
58%
64-65°F
37%
66°F或以上
39%
58-59°F 80%
50-51°F 71%
48-49°F 68%
60-61°F 66%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
華氏47度或以下
$0 交易量
38%
48-49°F
$0 交易量
68%
50-51°F
$0 交易量
71%
52-53°F
$0 交易量
36%
54-55°F
$0 交易量
56%
56-57°F
$0 交易量
42%
58-59°F
$0 交易量
80%
60-61°F
$0 交易量
66%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
58%
64-65°F
$0 交易量
37%
66°F或以上
$0 交易量
39%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from the National Weather Service and major meteorological services currently center the overnight low for Seattle on August 31 in the mid-to-upper 50s °F, aligning with the market’s leading bins of 54–55 °F (56.5 % implied probability) and 56–57 °F (42.0 %).**
This positioning reflects a transition from recent cooler, showery conditions driven by an exiting upper-level low and incoming ridge. The marine layer and northerly flow are expected to limit daytime heating while permitting moderate radiational cooling overnight under partly cloudy skies. Historical climatology for August 31 shows an average low of 55.4 °F, providing a baseline against which current model consensus sits slightly above normal but within the typical late-summer range.
No significant warm-air advection or strong cold-air outbreak is indicated in the latest model runs, keeping probabilities concentrated in the 54–57 °F window. Key upcoming data points include the next NWS forecast updates and any shifts in the approaching trough, which could nudge overnight minima if cloud cover or wind patterns change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from the National Weather Service and major meteorological services currently center the overnight low for Seattle on August 31 in the mid-to-upper 50s °F, aligning with the market’s leading bins of 54–55 °F (56.5 % implied probability) and 56–57 °F (42.0 %).**
This positioning reflects a transition from recent cooler, showery conditions driven by an exiting upper-level low and incoming ridge. The marine layer and northerly flow are expected to limit daytime heating while permitting moderate radiational cooling overnight under partly cloudy skies. Historical climatology for August 31 shows an average low of 55.4 °F, providing a baseline against which current model consensus sits slightly above normal but within the typical late-summer range.
No significant warm-air advection or strong cold-air outbreak is indicated in the latest model runs, keeping probabilities concentrated in the 54–57 °F window. Key upcoming data points include the next NWS forecast updates and any shifts in the approaching trough, which could nudge overnight minima if cloud cover or wind patterns change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ET**Forecast models and official guidance from the National Weather Service and major meteorological services currently center the overnight low for Seattle on August 31 in the mid-to-upper 50s °F, aligning with the market’s leading bins of 54–55 °F (56.5 % implied probability) and 56–57 °F (42.0 %).** This positioning reflects a transition from recent cooler, showery conditions driven by an exiting upper-level low and incoming ridge. The marine layer and northerly flow are expected to limit daytime heating while permitting moderate radiational cooling overnight under partly cloudy skies. Historical climatology for August 31 shows an average low of 55.4 °F, providing a baseline against which current model consensus sits slightly above normal but within the typical late-summer range. No significant warm-air advection or strong cold-air outbreak is indicated in the latest model runs, keeping probabilities concentrated in the 54–57 °F window. Key upcoming data points include the next NWS forecast updates and any shifts in the approaching trough, which could nudge overnight minima if cloud cover or wind patterns change.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions