Persistent cloud cover, frequent showers, and moderate southwesterly winds are expected to limit solar heating and cap the daily maximum near 21–22 °C on 29 August. Multiple operational models (GFS and ECMWF ensembles) show consistent afternoon peaks at 21–22 °C under mostly overcast skies with only brief breaks, keeping surface temperatures from rising further. This pattern aligns with the market’s heaviest trading on 22 °C (49.5 %) and 23 °C (28.5 %), while the 21 °C outcome (15.5 %) reflects residual uncertainty in exact cloud breaks or slight model spread. Recent 28 August updates have shown little shift in guidance, reinforcing trader focus on these narrow thresholds rather than outliers.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度?
22°C 50%
23°C 29%
21°C 16%
24°C 3%
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
16%
22°C
50%
23°C
29%
24°C
3%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
22°C 50%
23°C 29%
21°C 16%
24°C 3%
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
16%
22°C
50%
23°C
29%
24°C
3%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent cloud cover, frequent showers, and moderate southwesterly winds are expected to limit solar heating and cap the daily maximum near 21–22 °C on 29 August. Multiple operational models (GFS and ECMWF ensembles) show consistent afternoon peaks at 21–22 °C under mostly overcast skies with only brief breaks, keeping surface temperatures from rising further. This pattern aligns with the market’s heaviest trading on 22 °C (49.5 %) and 23 °C (28.5 %), while the 21 °C outcome (15.5 %) reflects residual uncertainty in exact cloud breaks or slight model spread. Recent 28 August updates have shown little shift in guidance, reinforcing trader focus on these narrow thresholds rather than outliers.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions