Current forecasts from agencies including the Busan Meteorological Office and international models indicate a high near 30–31°C on August 30, driven by a stationary front delivering periods of cloud cover, showers, and southwest winds that limit peak solar insolation and convective heating. High humidity near 80% and potential for scattered thunderstorms further moderate surface temperatures compared to clearer conditions. The near-even market split between 31°C and 32°C reflects model spread in shower timing and cloud thickness, with historical August averages around 29–31°C providing baseline context. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether reduced insolation keeps the peak at or below 31°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日釜山的最高溫度?
31°C 34%
32°C 32%
33°C 19%
30°C 13%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
8%
29°C
6%
30°C
13%
31°C
34%
32°C
32%
33°C
19%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C或更高
<1%
31°C 34%
32°C 32%
33°C 19%
30°C 13%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
8%
29°C
6%
30°C
13%
31°C
34%
32°C
32%
33°C
19%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from agencies including the Busan Meteorological Office and international models indicate a high near 30–31°C on August 30, driven by a stationary front delivering periods of cloud cover, showers, and southwest winds that limit peak solar insolation and convective heating. High humidity near 80% and potential for scattered thunderstorms further moderate surface temperatures compared to clearer conditions. The near-even market split between 31°C and 32°C reflects model spread in shower timing and cloud thickness, with historical August averages around 29–31°C providing baseline context. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether reduced insolation keeps the peak at or below 31°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions