Recent forecasts from multiple models, including AEMET guidance and international ensembles, indicate Madrid will experience clear skies and light southwesterly winds on August 30 under a stable high-pressure regime, supporting a daytime maximum near 32°C with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This follows a brief cool spell late in the month after earlier August peaks above 38°C, with climatological averages for the date around 30°C. Model consensus shows limited potential for stronger warming or advection of hotter air masses, keeping the probability of exceeding 37°C low despite trader pricing that balances 38°C+ near even odds with the 30–37°C range. Updated runs from NOAA and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日馬德裏氣溫最高？
8月30日馬德裏氣溫最高？
33°C 54%
34°C 29%
32°C 18%
31°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
28°C or below
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
15%
31°C
16%
32°C
18%
33°C
54%
34°C
29%
35°C
3%
36°C
5%
37°C
5%
38°C or higher
2%
33°C 54%
34°C 29%
32°C 18%
31°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
28°C or below
$0 交易量
4%
29°C
$0 交易量
4%
30°C
$0 交易量
15%
31°C
$20 交易量
16%
32°C
$5 交易量
18%
33°C
$69 交易量
54%
34°C
$8 交易量
29%
35°C
$35 交易量
3%
36°C
$0 交易量
5%
37°C
$0 交易量
5%
38°C or higher
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including AEMET guidance and international ensembles, indicate Madrid will experience clear skies and light southwesterly winds on August 30 under a stable high-pressure regime, supporting a daytime maximum near 32°C with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This follows a brief cool spell late in the month after earlier August peaks above 38°C, with climatological averages for the date around 30°C. Model consensus shows limited potential for stronger warming or advection of hotter air masses, keeping the probability of exceeding 37°C low despite trader pricing that balances 38°C+ near even odds with the 30–37°C range. Updated runs from NOAA and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$121結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including AEMET guidance and international ensembles, indicate Madrid will experience clear skies and light southwesterly winds on August 30 under a stable high-pressure regime, supporting a daytime maximum near 32°C with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This follows a brief cool spell late in the month after earlier August peaks above 38°C, with climatological averages for the date around 30°C. Model consensus shows limited potential for stronger warming or advection of hotter air masses, keeping the probability of exceeding 37°C low despite trader pricing that balances 38°C+ near even odds with the 30–37°C range. Updated runs from NOAA and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$121結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models, including AEMET guidance and international ensembles, indicate Madrid will experience clear skies and light southwesterly winds on August 30 under a stable high-pressure regime, supporting a daytime maximum near 32°C with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This follows a brief cool spell late in the month after earlier August peaks above 38°C, with climatological averages for the date around 30°C. Model consensus shows limited potential for stronger warming or advection of hotter air masses, keeping the probability of exceeding 37°C low despite trader pricing that balances 38°C+ near even odds with the 30–37°C range. Updated runs from NOAA and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions