Recent forecast ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts place Amsterdam's August 30 maximum near 21–22 °C, with the market's near-even split reflecting modest spread in boundary-layer temperature and cloud-cover scenarios. A weak ridge and light southerly flow are expected to limit daytime mixing while allowing modest insolation, keeping values close to the late-August climatological mean of roughly 20 °C. Ensemble members diverge primarily on afternoon cloud timing and dew-point advection, each capable of shifting the peak by about 1 °C. Official guidance from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute will be updated later today, providing the last model cycle before the 24-hour observation window closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度?
21°C 50%
22°C 45%
20°C 6%
19°C <1%
$17,379 交易量
$17,379 交易量
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
6%
21°C
50%
22°C
45%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
<1%
21°C 50%
22°C 45%
20°C 6%
19°C <1%
$17,379 交易量
$17,379 交易量
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
6%
21°C
50%
22°C
45%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts place Amsterdam's August 30 maximum near 21–22 °C, with the market's near-even split reflecting modest spread in boundary-layer temperature and cloud-cover scenarios. A weak ridge and light southerly flow are expected to limit daytime mixing while allowing modest insolation, keeping values close to the late-August climatological mean of roughly 20 °C. Ensemble members diverge primarily on afternoon cloud timing and dew-point advection, each capable of shifting the peak by about 1 °C. Official guidance from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute will be updated later today, providing the last model cycle before the 24-hour observation window closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions