Current observational data and numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the National Weather Service show overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds allowing the minimum temperature in Panama City to reach or fall below the 20°C threshold by early morning. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability, as climatological records indicate such lows occur near the extreme tail of August distributions but remain attainable given the day's specific humidity, cloud cover, and steering patterns. Traders' consensus reflects real-time model agreement rather than long-term averages, though revisions in final verified readings or unexpected boundary-layer mixing could still alter the exact minimum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日巴拿馬城的最低溫度？
8月31日巴拿馬城的最低溫度？
25°C 39%
26°C 31%
27°C 27%
24°C 24%
$686 交易量
$686 交易量
2026-08-31
20°C或以下
是
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或更高
否
25°C 39%
26°C 31%
27°C 27%
24°C 24%
$686 交易量
$686 交易量
2026-08-31
20°C或以下
$140 交易量
是
21°C
$21 交易量
否
22°C
$85 交易量
否
23°C
$0 交易量
否
24°C
$0 交易量
否
25°C
$0 交易量
否
26°C
$0 交易量
否
27°C
$0 交易量
否
28°C
$119 交易量
否
29°C
$101 交易量
否
30°C或更高
$220 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observational data and numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the National Weather Service show overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds allowing the minimum temperature in Panama City to reach or fall below the 20°C threshold by early morning. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability, as climatological records indicate such lows occur near the extreme tail of August distributions but remain attainable given the day's specific humidity, cloud cover, and steering patterns. Traders' consensus reflects real-time model agreement rather than long-term averages, though revisions in final verified readings or unexpected boundary-layer mixing could still alter the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 8:30 AM ET
交易量
$686結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 8:30 AM ET已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observational data and numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the National Weather Service show overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds allowing the minimum temperature in Panama City to reach or fall below the 20°C threshold by early morning. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability, as climatological records indicate such lows occur near the extreme tail of August distributions but remain attainable given the day's specific humidity, cloud cover, and steering patterns. Traders' consensus reflects real-time model agreement rather than long-term averages, though revisions in final verified readings or unexpected boundary-layer mixing could still alter the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$686結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 8:30 AM ET已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
Current observational data and numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the National Weather Service show overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds allowing the minimum temperature in Panama City to reach or fall below the 20°C threshold by early morning. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability, as climatological records indicate such lows occur near the extreme tail of August distributions but remain attainable given the day's specific humidity, cloud cover, and steering patterns. Traders' consensus reflects real-time model agreement rather than long-term averages, though revisions in final verified readings or unexpected boundary-layer mixing could still alter the exact minimum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions