Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a maximum air temperature of 31°C on September 16, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus at that level. This aligns with late-summer subtropical conditions, where high pressure and urban heat island effects typically produce daily highs near 30–32°C. Verified station data, rather than models, underpin the outcome, consistent with historical mid-September climatology for the region. Measurement thresholds and reporting protocols from the observatory leave minimal room for revision. Only an unprecedented post-publication correction or instrument anomaly could alter resolution, scenarios with negligible historical precedent.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日香港最高溫度？
9月16日香港最高溫度？
31°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$146,152 交易量
$146,152 交易量
2026-09-16
25°C或以下
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
是
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C或以上
否
31°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$146,152 交易量
$146,152 交易量
2026-09-16
25°C或以下
$712 交易量
否
26°C
$259 交易量
否
27°C
$1,354 交易量
否
28°C
$37,248 交易量
否
29°C
$16,558 交易量
否
30°C
$26,622 交易量
否
31°C
$26,566 交易量
是
32°C
$24,238 交易量
否
33°C
$8,954 交易量
否
34°C
$1,686 交易量
否
35°C或以上
$1,955 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a maximum air temperature of 31°C on September 16, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus at that level. This aligns with late-summer subtropical conditions, where high pressure and urban heat island effects typically produce daily highs near 30–32°C. Verified station data, rather than models, underpin the outcome, consistent with historical mid-September climatology for the region. Measurement thresholds and reporting protocols from the observatory leave minimal room for revision. Only an unprecedented post-publication correction or instrument anomaly could alter resolution, scenarios with negligible historical precedent.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$146,152結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a maximum air temperature of 31°C on September 16, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus at that level. This aligns with late-summer subtropical conditions, where high pressure and urban heat island effects typically produce daily highs near 30–32°C. Verified station data, rather than models, underpin the outcome, consistent with historical mid-September climatology for the region. Measurement thresholds and reporting protocols from the observatory leave minimal room for revision. Only an unprecedented post-publication correction or instrument anomaly could alter resolution, scenarios with negligible historical precedent.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$146,152結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a maximum air temperature of 31°C on September 16, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus at that level. This aligns with late-summer subtropical conditions, where high pressure and urban heat island effects typically produce daily highs near 30–32°C. Verified station data, rather than models, underpin the outcome, consistent with historical mid-September climatology for the region. Measurement thresholds and reporting protocols from the observatory leave minimal room for revision. Only an unprecedented post-publication correction or instrument anomaly could alter resolution, scenarios with negligible historical precedent.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions