Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Chengdu's September 17 maximum likely peaking near 25–26 °C under persistent cloud cover, scattered light rain, and high humidity that limits solar heating. Light winds and the Sichuan Basin's topographic trapping of moisture further suppress afternoon warming compared with clearer historical analogs. Slight model spread in cloud timing and any late-day clearing creates the tight clustering around 25–27 °C, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to those outcomes based on the latest observational trends and ensemble consensus. Updated hourly data and any unexpected breaks in overcast conditions remain the key variables ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月17日成都最高溫度？
9月17日成都最高溫度？
26°C 32%
27°C 25%
25°C 22%
28°C 16%
最新
$23,982 交易量
最新
$23,982 交易量
2026-09-17
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
7%
25°C
22%
26°C
32%
27°C
25%
28°C
16%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C或以上
<1%
26°C 32%
27°C 25%
25°C 22%
28°C 16%
最新
$23,982 交易量
最新
$23,982 交易量
2026-09-17
21°C或以下
$4,106 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,199 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,283 交易量
1%
24°C
$2,267 交易量
7%
25°C
$930 交易量
22%
26°C
$3,033 交易量
32%
27°C
$3,209 交易量
25%
28°C
$3,704 交易量
16%
29°C
$2,321 交易量
2%
30°C
$1,334 交易量
<1%
31°C或以上
$596 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Chengdu's September 17 maximum likely peaking near 25–26 °C under persistent cloud cover, scattered light rain, and high humidity that limits solar heating. Light winds and the Sichuan Basin's topographic trapping of moisture further suppress afternoon warming compared with clearer historical analogs. Slight model spread in cloud timing and any late-day clearing creates the tight clustering around 25–27 °C, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to those outcomes based on the latest observational trends and ensemble consensus. Updated hourly data and any unexpected breaks in overcast conditions remain the key variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$23,982結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Chengdu's September 17 maximum likely peaking near 25–26 °C under persistent cloud cover, scattered light rain, and high humidity that limits solar heating. Light winds and the Sichuan Basin's topographic trapping of moisture further suppress afternoon warming compared with clearer historical analogs. Slight model spread in cloud timing and any late-day clearing creates the tight clustering around 25–27 °C, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to those outcomes based on the latest observational trends and ensemble consensus. Updated hourly data and any unexpected breaks in overcast conditions remain the key variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$23,982結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Chengdu's September 17 maximum likely peaking near 25–26 °C under persistent cloud cover, scattered light rain, and high humidity that limits solar heating. Light winds and the Sichuan Basin's topographic trapping of moisture further suppress afternoon warming compared with clearer historical analogs. Slight model spread in cloud timing and any late-day clearing creates the tight clustering around 25–27 °C, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to those outcomes based on the latest observational trends and ensemble consensus. Updated hourly data and any unexpected breaks in overcast conditions remain the key variables ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions