Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Los Angeles on September 16 point to a classic marine-layer regime, with morning low clouds, patchy drizzle near the coast, and afternoon southwest winds limiting warming. Forecasts for representative stations such as LAX cluster between 75–78 °F, aligning with the September climatological normal of roughly 76 °F and recent days’ observed highs near 78–80 °F. This marine influence and modest onshore flow explain the market’s strong weighting toward a 76–77 °F daily maximum, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer inland or hotter-scenario outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings through the morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於洛杉磯9月16日的最高溫度？
洛杉磯9月16日的最高溫度？
76-77°F 54%
78-79°F 25%
74-75°F 18%
80-81°F 6%
最新
$18,478 交易量
最新
$18,478 交易量
2026-09-16
65°F或以下
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
54%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
1%
84°F或更高
<1%
76-77°F 54%
78-79°F 25%
74-75°F 18%
80-81°F 6%
最新
$18,478 交易量
最新
$18,478 交易量
2026-09-16
65°F或以下
$353 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$253 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$381 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$553 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$695 交易量
2%
74-75°F
$5,453 交易量
18%
76-77°F
$2,526 交易量
54%
78-79°F
$5,731 交易量
25%
80-81°F
$1,418 交易量
6%
82-83°F
$889 交易量
1%
84°F或更高
$227 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Los Angeles on September 16 point to a classic marine-layer regime, with morning low clouds, patchy drizzle near the coast, and afternoon southwest winds limiting warming. Forecasts for representative stations such as LAX cluster between 75–78 °F, aligning with the September climatological normal of roughly 76 °F and recent days’ observed highs near 78–80 °F. This marine influence and modest onshore flow explain the market’s strong weighting toward a 76–77 °F daily maximum, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer inland or hotter-scenario outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings through the morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
交易量
$18,478結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 7:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Los Angeles on September 16 point to a classic marine-layer regime, with morning low clouds, patchy drizzle near the coast, and afternoon southwest winds limiting warming. Forecasts for representative stations such as LAX cluster between 75–78 °F, aligning with the September climatological normal of roughly 76 °F and recent days’ observed highs near 78–80 °F. This marine influence and modest onshore flow explain the market’s strong weighting toward a 76–77 °F daily maximum, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer inland or hotter-scenario outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings through the morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$18,478結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 7:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance for Los Angeles on September 16 point to a classic marine-layer regime, with morning low clouds, patchy drizzle near the coast, and afternoon southwest winds limiting warming. Forecasts for representative stations such as LAX cluster between 75–78 °F, aligning with the September climatological normal of roughly 76 °F and recent days’ observed highs near 78–80 °F. This marine influence and modest onshore flow explain the market’s strong weighting toward a 76–77 °F daily maximum, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer inland or hotter-scenario outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings through the morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions