Current forecast models indicate a high of 31–32°C in Beijing on September 16 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk, driving the market's heaviest weighting toward those outcomes. Multiple sources project afternoon peaks near 31°C, above the 26.3°C climatological average yet well below the 34.4°C record, with ensemble spread typically confined to a 2°C range. Stable high pressure and dry northerly flow earlier in the period support this consensus, while minimal model disagreement on steering patterns or cloud cover limits upside potential for 33°C or higher. Updated guidance ahead of the 48-hour window will refine exact resolution thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日北京最高溫度？
9月16日北京最高溫度？
31°C 32%
32°C 32%
30°C 14%
29°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
5%
29°C
13%
30°C
19%
31°C
33%
32°C
32%
33°C
11%
34°C
8%
35°C
7%
36°C
10%
37°C或以上
<1%
31°C 32%
32°C 32%
30°C 14%
29°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
27°C或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
28°C
$7 交易量
5%
29°C
$31 交易量
13%
30°C
$166 交易量
19%
31°C
$52 交易量
33%
32°C
$32 交易量
32%
33°C
$10 交易量
11%
34°C
$0 交易量
8%
35°C
$0 交易量
7%
36°C
$0 交易量
10%
37°C或以上
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate a high of 31–32°C in Beijing on September 16 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk, driving the market's heaviest weighting toward those outcomes. Multiple sources project afternoon peaks near 31°C, above the 26.3°C climatological average yet well below the 34.4°C record, with ensemble spread typically confined to a 2°C range. Stable high pressure and dry northerly flow earlier in the period support this consensus, while minimal model disagreement on steering patterns or cloud cover limits upside potential for 33°C or higher. Updated guidance ahead of the 48-hour window will refine exact resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$299結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate a high of 31–32°C in Beijing on September 16 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk, driving the market's heaviest weighting toward those outcomes. Multiple sources project afternoon peaks near 31°C, above the 26.3°C climatological average yet well below the 34.4°C record, with ensemble spread typically confined to a 2°C range. Stable high pressure and dry northerly flow earlier in the period support this consensus, while minimal model disagreement on steering patterns or cloud cover limits upside potential for 33°C or higher. Updated guidance ahead of the 48-hour window will refine exact resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$299結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCurrent forecast models indicate a high of 31–32°C in Beijing on September 16 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk, driving the market's heaviest weighting toward those outcomes. Multiple sources project afternoon peaks near 31°C, above the 26.3°C climatological average yet well below the 34.4°C record, with ensemble spread typically confined to a 2°C range. Stable high pressure and dry northerly flow earlier in the period support this consensus, while minimal model disagreement on steering patterns or cloud cover limits upside potential for 33°C or higher. Updated guidance ahead of the 48-hour window will refine exact resolution thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions