Recent forecast consensus from major models indicates a maximum of 20–21°C in Munich on September 14, driven by widespread cloud cover and light-to-moderate rain that limits solar heating and promotes evaporative cooling. Westerly flow advects milder maritime air while high humidity (70–80%) and reduced insolation keep afternoon peaks suppressed relative to clearer September days. This aligns with the near-even market split between 21°C and 22°C outcomes, as small shifts in timing of heaviest precipitation or cloud breaks could add or subtract 1°C. Historical climatology shows an average high near 19.8°C, providing context for the modest warmth expected. Updated ECMWF and DWD runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether any break in the rain allows a brief spike toward 22–23°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日慕尼黑最高溫度？
9月14日慕尼黑最高溫度？
21°C 36%
22°C 35%
20°C 13%
23°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
14°C或以下
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
10%
20°C
13%
21°C
36%
22°C
35%
23°C
13%
24°C或以上
7%
21°C 36%
22°C 35%
20°C 13%
23°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
14°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
15°C
$0 交易量
2%
16°C
$0 交易量
2%
17°C
$0 交易量
2%
18°C
$0 交易量
4%
19°C
$0 交易量
10%
20°C
$0 交易量
13%
21°C
$64 交易量
36%
22°C
$102 交易量
35%
23°C
$2 交易量
13%
24°C或以上
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from major models indicates a maximum of 20–21°C in Munich on September 14, driven by widespread cloud cover and light-to-moderate rain that limits solar heating and promotes evaporative cooling. Westerly flow advects milder maritime air while high humidity (70–80%) and reduced insolation keep afternoon peaks suppressed relative to clearer September days. This aligns with the near-even market split between 21°C and 22°C outcomes, as small shifts in timing of heaviest precipitation or cloud breaks could add or subtract 1°C. Historical climatology shows an average high near 19.8°C, providing context for the modest warmth expected. Updated ECMWF and DWD runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether any break in the rain allows a brief spike toward 22–23°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$169結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from major models indicates a maximum of 20–21°C in Munich on September 14, driven by widespread cloud cover and light-to-moderate rain that limits solar heating and promotes evaporative cooling. Westerly flow advects milder maritime air while high humidity (70–80%) and reduced insolation keep afternoon peaks suppressed relative to clearer September days. This aligns with the near-even market split between 21°C and 22°C outcomes, as small shifts in timing of heaviest precipitation or cloud breaks could add or subtract 1°C. Historical climatology shows an average high near 19.8°C, providing context for the modest warmth expected. Updated ECMWF and DWD runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether any break in the rain allows a brief spike toward 22–23°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$169結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecast consensus from major models indicates a maximum of 20–21°C in Munich on September 14, driven by widespread cloud cover and light-to-moderate rain that limits solar heating and promotes evaporative cooling. Westerly flow advects milder maritime air while high humidity (70–80%) and reduced insolation keep afternoon peaks suppressed relative to clearer September days. This aligns with the near-even market split between 21°C and 22°C outcomes, as small shifts in timing of heaviest precipitation or cloud breaks could add or subtract 1°C. Historical climatology shows an average high near 19.8°C, providing context for the modest warmth expected. Updated ECMWF and DWD runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether any break in the rain allows a brief spike toward 22–23°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions