**Observed maximum temperatures in Chengdu on September 12, 2026, reached 22°C according to multiple meteorological sources, driving the market's near-certain consensus on this outcome.** Overcast skies, high humidity around 60-80%, light northeast winds, and stable atmospheric pressure limited daytime heating in the Sichuan basin during late summer. Official station data and short-range model runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration aligned closely with this peak, consistent with typical September climatology where highs often hover near 23-25°C under similar conditions. Minor model spreads in earlier forecasts introduced negligible uncertainty, but real-time observations have now confirmed the daily maximum. Resolution hinges on verified official records rather than preliminary estimates, leaving little room for revision unless post-analysis adjustments occur.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日成都最高溫度？
9月12日成都最高溫度？
22°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
$53,090 交易量
$53,090 交易量
2026-09-12
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或更高
<1%
22°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
$53,090 交易量
$53,090 交易量
2026-09-12
20°C或以下
$1,544 交易量
<1%
21°C
$3,277 交易量
<1%
22°C
$9,854 交易量
100%
23°C
$14,955 交易量
<1%
24°C
$7,143 交易量
<1%
25°C
$7,840 交易量
<1%
26°C
$5,222 交易量
<1%
27°C
$883 交易量
<1%
28°C
$689 交易量
<1%
29°C
$838 交易量
<1%
30°C或更高
$845 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Observed maximum temperatures in Chengdu on September 12, 2026, reached 22°C according to multiple meteorological sources, driving the market's near-certain consensus on this outcome.** Overcast skies, high humidity around 60-80%, light northeast winds, and stable atmospheric pressure limited daytime heating in the Sichuan basin during late summer. Official station data and short-range model runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration aligned closely with this peak, consistent with typical September climatology where highs often hover near 23-25°C under similar conditions. Minor model spreads in earlier forecasts introduced negligible uncertainty, but real-time observations have now confirmed the daily maximum. Resolution hinges on verified official records rather than preliminary estimates, leaving little room for revision unless post-analysis adjustments occur.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$53,090結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Observed maximum temperatures in Chengdu on September 12, 2026, reached 22°C according to multiple meteorological sources, driving the market's near-certain consensus on this outcome.** Overcast skies, high humidity around 60-80%, light northeast winds, and stable atmospheric pressure limited daytime heating in the Sichuan basin during late summer. Official station data and short-range model runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration aligned closely with this peak, consistent with typical September climatology where highs often hover near 23-25°C under similar conditions. Minor model spreads in earlier forecasts introduced negligible uncertainty, but real-time observations have now confirmed the daily maximum. Resolution hinges on verified official records rather than preliminary estimates, leaving little room for revision unless post-analysis adjustments occur.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$53,090結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Observed maximum temperatures in Chengdu on September 12, 2026, reached 22°C according to multiple meteorological sources, driving the market's near-certain consensus on this outcome.** Overcast skies, high humidity around 60-80%, light northeast winds, and stable atmospheric pressure limited daytime heating in the Sichuan basin during late summer. Official station data and short-range model runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration aligned closely with this peak, consistent with typical September climatology where highs often hover near 23-25°C under similar conditions. Minor model spreads in earlier forecasts introduced negligible uncertainty, but real-time observations have now confirmed the daily maximum. Resolution hinges on verified official records rather than preliminary estimates, leaving little room for revision unless post-analysis adjustments occur.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions