Traders have converged on a 31°C high for Panama City on September 14 because official meteorological observations from national monitoring stations recorded that exact peak under typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and clear skies that maximized solar heating. This aligns with regional climatology, where September daytime maxima frequently reach 30–32°C, and current forecast model runs from regional agencies showed strong consensus around this value with minimal spread. Market-implied odds reflect the skin-in-the-game assessment of verified station data rather than projections. Resolution could shift only if post-analysis quality control revises the official maximum or if authorities apply a different primary station, though such changes are uncommon for daily temperature records.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於巴拿馬城9月14日的最高溫度?
31°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$16,236 交易量
$16,236 交易量
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
是
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C或更高
否
31°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$16,236 交易量
$16,236 交易量
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
是
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 12, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Traders have converged on a 31°C high for Panama City on September 14 because official meteorological observations from national monitoring stations recorded that exact peak under typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and clear skies that maximized solar heating. This aligns with regional climatology, where September daytime maxima frequently reach 30–32°C, and current forecast model runs from regional agencies showed strong consensus around this value with minimal spread. Market-implied odds reflect the skin-in-the-game assessment of verified station data rather than projections. Resolution could shift only if post-analysis quality control revises the official maximum or if authorities apply a different primary station, though such changes are uncommon for daily temperature records.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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