Current forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and private ensembles indicate a high temperature near 96–98°F for Austin on September 19, 2026, under mostly clear skies with light southeast winds and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This above-average reading—relative to the 1991–2020 climatological mean of roughly 90°F—reflects persistent warm, dry late-summer air masses without significant frontal passages or moisture advection to moderate daytime heating. Market-implied odds remain closely bunched across the 96–101°F bins because small differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing, insolation, or model bias can shift the exact peak by a degree or two; traders are weighting recent GFS and ECMWF runs that converge on the upper 90s while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±2°F this close to the event.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月19日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
9月19日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
96-97°F 40%
98-99華氏度 39%
100-101°F 38%
94-95°F 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
87°F或以下
5%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
10%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
19%
96-97°F
40%
98-99華氏度
39%
100-101°F
38%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
10%
106°F或以上
6%
96-97°F 40%
98-99華氏度 39%
100-101°F 38%
94-95°F 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
87°F或以下
$0 交易量
5%
88-89°F
$0 交易量
5%
90-91°F
$17 交易量
10%
92-93°F
$20 交易量
3%
94-95°F
$0 交易量
19%
96-97°F
$0 交易量
40%
98-99華氏度
$0 交易量
39%
100-101°F
$0 交易量
38%
102-103°F
$0 交易量
19%
104-105°F
$0 交易量
10%
106°F或以上
$0 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and private ensembles indicate a high temperature near 96–98°F for Austin on September 19, 2026, under mostly clear skies with light southeast winds and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This above-average reading—relative to the 1991–2020 climatological mean of roughly 90°F—reflects persistent warm, dry late-summer air masses without significant frontal passages or moisture advection to moderate daytime heating. Market-implied odds remain closely bunched across the 96–101°F bins because small differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing, insolation, or model bias can shift the exact peak by a degree or two; traders are weighting recent GFS and ECMWF runs that converge on the upper 90s while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±2°F this close to the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 17, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
交易量
$37結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and private ensembles indicate a high temperature near 96–98°F for Austin on September 19, 2026, under mostly clear skies with light southeast winds and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This above-average reading—relative to the 1991–2020 climatological mean of roughly 90°F—reflects persistent warm, dry late-summer air masses without significant frontal passages or moisture advection to moderate daytime heating. Market-implied odds remain closely bunched across the 96–101°F bins because small differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing, insolation, or model bias can shift the exact peak by a degree or two; traders are weighting recent GFS and ECMWF runs that converge on the upper 90s while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±2°F this close to the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$37結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 2:56 AM ETCurrent forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and private ensembles indicate a high temperature near 96–98°F for Austin on September 19, 2026, under mostly clear skies with light southeast winds and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This above-average reading—relative to the 1991–2020 climatological mean of roughly 90°F—reflects persistent warm, dry late-summer air masses without significant frontal passages or moisture advection to moderate daytime heating. Market-implied odds remain closely bunched across the 96–101°F bins because small differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing, insolation, or model bias can shift the exact peak by a degree or two; traders are weighting recent GFS and ECMWF runs that converge on the upper 90s while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±2°F this close to the event.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions