Official National Weather Service observations and preliminary climatological data for September 16, 2026, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 64°F at San Francisco stations, including the airport, aligning precisely with the 64-65°F market outcome at 100% implied probability. Persistent onshore flow and marine layer stratus suppressed warming typical of September's 70.8°F average high, preventing any spike into higher bins. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects verified measurements rather than forecasts. Minor station-to-station variations or post-event quality control revisions could theoretically shift the official high, though such adjustments remain rare for this well-monitored urban site.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於舊金山9月16日的最高溫度？
舊金山9月16日的最高溫度？
64-65°F 100.0%
59°F或以下 <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$32,634 交易量
$32,634 交易量
2026-09-16
59°F或以下
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
100%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F或以上
<1%
64-65°F 100.0%
59°F或以下 <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$32,634 交易量
$32,634 交易量
2026-09-16
59°F或以下
$521 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$1,424 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$1,021 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$6,961 交易量
100%
66-67°F
$6,176 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$7,272 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$4,783 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$2,724 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$1,430 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$151 交易量
<1%
78°F或以上
$171 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations and preliminary climatological data for September 16, 2026, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 64°F at San Francisco stations, including the airport, aligning precisely with the 64-65°F market outcome at 100% implied probability. Persistent onshore flow and marine layer stratus suppressed warming typical of September's 70.8°F average high, preventing any spike into higher bins. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects verified measurements rather than forecasts. Minor station-to-station variations or post-event quality control revisions could theoretically shift the official high, though such adjustments remain rare for this well-monitored urban site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
交易量
$32,634結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 7:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations and preliminary climatological data for September 16, 2026, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 64°F at San Francisco stations, including the airport, aligning precisely with the 64-65°F market outcome at 100% implied probability. Persistent onshore flow and marine layer stratus suppressed warming typical of September's 70.8°F average high, preventing any spike into higher bins. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects verified measurements rather than forecasts. Minor station-to-station variations or post-event quality control revisions could theoretically shift the official high, though such adjustments remain rare for this well-monitored urban site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$32,634結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 7:56 AM ETOfficial National Weather Service observations and preliminary climatological data for September 16, 2026, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 64°F at San Francisco stations, including the airport, aligning precisely with the 64-65°F market outcome at 100% implied probability. Persistent onshore flow and marine layer stratus suppressed warming typical of September's 70.8°F average high, preventing any spike into higher bins. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects verified measurements rather than forecasts. Minor station-to-station variations or post-event quality control revisions could theoretically shift the official high, though such adjustments remain rare for this well-monitored urban site.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions