Official observations from Environment and Climate Change Canada at Toronto Pearson International Airport recorded a daily maximum of exactly 25°C on September 16, 2026, establishing the market-implied outcome at near-certainty. Trader consensus reflects verified station data rather than models, with the 100% implied probability on 25°C driven by post-event confirmation and minimal measurement uncertainty at standard reporting thresholds. Historical September averages near 22°C provide context, yet localized conditions including clear skies and light winds aligned to produce this precise peak. Scenarios that could realistically alter positioning remain limited to rare data revisions or station discrepancies, though none have emerged in initial releases.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日多倫多氣溫最高？
9月16日多倫多氣溫最高？
25°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$54,735 交易量
$54,735 交易量
2026-09-16
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或以上
<1%
25°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$54,735 交易量
$54,735 交易量
2026-09-16
18°C或以下
$175 交易量
<1%
19°C
$503 交易量
<1%
20°C
$429 交易量
<1%
21°C
$1,024 交易量
<1%
22°C
$3,007 交易量
<1%
23°C
$10,486 交易量
<1%
24°C
$8,660 交易量
<1%
25°C
$10,996 交易量
100%
26°C
$9,061 交易量
<1%
27°C
$8,242 交易量
<1%
28°C或以上
$2,153 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Environment and Climate Change Canada at Toronto Pearson International Airport recorded a daily maximum of exactly 25°C on September 16, 2026, establishing the market-implied outcome at near-certainty. Trader consensus reflects verified station data rather than models, with the 100% implied probability on 25°C driven by post-event confirmation and minimal measurement uncertainty at standard reporting thresholds. Historical September averages near 22°C provide context, yet localized conditions including clear skies and light winds aligned to produce this precise peak. Scenarios that could realistically alter positioning remain limited to rare data revisions or station discrepancies, though none have emerged in initial releases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
交易量
$54,735結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Environment and Climate Change Canada at Toronto Pearson International Airport recorded a daily maximum of exactly 25°C on September 16, 2026, establishing the market-implied outcome at near-certainty. Trader consensus reflects verified station data rather than models, with the 100% implied probability on 25°C driven by post-event confirmation and minimal measurement uncertainty at standard reporting thresholds. Historical September averages near 22°C provide context, yet localized conditions including clear skies and light winds aligned to produce this precise peak. Scenarios that could realistically alter positioning remain limited to rare data revisions or station discrepancies, though none have emerged in initial releases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$54,735結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ETOfficial observations from Environment and Climate Change Canada at Toronto Pearson International Airport recorded a daily maximum of exactly 25°C on September 16, 2026, establishing the market-implied outcome at near-certainty. Trader consensus reflects verified station data rather than models, with the 100% implied probability on 25°C driven by post-event confirmation and minimal measurement uncertainty at standard reporting thresholds. Historical September averages near 22°C provide context, yet localized conditions including clear skies and light winds aligned to produce this precise peak. Scenarios that could realistically alter positioning remain limited to rare data revisions or station discrepancies, though none have emerged in initial releases.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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