Official temperature observations from San Francisco on September 18 confirmed a daily maximum in the 68-69°F range, driving the near-certain market outcome. National Weather Service stations recorded peak readings consistent with this bin amid typical late-summer marine layer influence and onshore flow that suppressed warming. With the observation window closed, trader consensus reflects verified data rather than forecasts, leaving minimal room for alternative bins. Revisions to official records or measurement disputes remain the only realistic scenarios that could alter resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for daily highs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於舊金山9月18日的最高溫度？
舊金山9月18日的最高溫度？
68-69°F 100.0%
63°F或以下 <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$43,967 交易量
$43,967 交易量
2026-09-18
63°F或以下
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
是
70-71華氏度
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82°F或以上
否
68-69°F 100.0%
63°F或以下 <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$43,967 交易量
$43,967 交易量
2026-09-18
63°F或以下
$10,982 交易量
否
64-65°F
$3,000 交易量
否
66-67°F
$5,613 交易量
否
68-69°F
$7,634 交易量
是
70-71華氏度
$3,250 交易量
否
72-73°F
$6,160 交易量
否
74-75°F
$2,223 交易量
否
76-77°F
$1,905 交易量
否
78-79°F
$468 交易量
否
80-81°F
$1,531 交易量
否
82°F或以上
$1,202 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from San Francisco on September 18 confirmed a daily maximum in the 68-69°F range, driving the near-certain market outcome. National Weather Service stations recorded peak readings consistent with this bin amid typical late-summer marine layer influence and onshore flow that suppressed warming. With the observation window closed, trader consensus reflects verified data rather than forecasts, leaving minimal room for alternative bins. Revisions to official records or measurement disputes remain the only realistic scenarios that could alter resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for daily highs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
交易量
$43,967結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 7:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from San Francisco on September 18 confirmed a daily maximum in the 68-69°F range, driving the near-certain market outcome. National Weather Service stations recorded peak readings consistent with this bin amid typical late-summer marine layer influence and onshore flow that suppressed warming. With the observation window closed, trader consensus reflects verified data rather than forecasts, leaving minimal room for alternative bins. Revisions to official records or measurement disputes remain the only realistic scenarios that could alter resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for daily highs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$43,967結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 7:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official temperature observations from San Francisco on September 18 confirmed a daily maximum in the 68-69°F range, driving the near-certain market outcome. National Weather Service stations recorded peak readings consistent with this bin amid typical late-summer marine layer influence and onshore flow that suppressed warming. With the observation window closed, trader consensus reflects verified data rather than forecasts, leaving minimal room for alternative bins. Revisions to official records or measurement disputes remain the only realistic scenarios that could alter resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for daily highs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions