Trader sentiment for Shanghai’s September 20 high temperature centers on the near-even split between 28 °C and 29 °C, reflecting ensemble forecast spread from global models that place maximum readings right at the boundary between those thresholds. Late-September climatology features weakening monsoon flow and variable subtropical ridge influence, allowing modest day-to-day swings driven by cloud cover, wind direction, and boundary-layer moisture. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and international centers shows limited model consensus on exact peak values, with small differences in simulated advection and diurnal heating producing the tight 46 %–44.5 % distribution. Updated runs expected overnight will likely tighten or shift these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日上海最高溫度？
9月20日上海最高溫度？
28°C 46%
29°C 45%
30°C 7%
27°C 5%
最新
$10,107 交易量
最新
$10,107 交易量
2026-09-20
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
46%
29°C
45%
30°C
7%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
28°C 46%
29°C 45%
30°C 7%
27°C 5%
最新
$10,107 交易量
最新
$10,107 交易量
2026-09-20
25°C或以下
$250 交易量
<1%
26°C
$703 交易量
<1%
27°C
$964 交易量
5%
28°C
$2,701 交易量
46%
29°C
$2,449 交易量
45%
30°C
$1,086 交易量
7%
31°C
$554 交易量
2%
32°C
$691 交易量
<1%
33°C
$360 交易量
<1%
34°C
$145 交易量
<1%
35°C或以上
$203 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Shanghai’s September 20 high temperature centers on the near-even split between 28 °C and 29 °C, reflecting ensemble forecast spread from global models that place maximum readings right at the boundary between those thresholds. Late-September climatology features weakening monsoon flow and variable subtropical ridge influence, allowing modest day-to-day swings driven by cloud cover, wind direction, and boundary-layer moisture. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and international centers shows limited model consensus on exact peak values, with small differences in simulated advection and diurnal heating producing the tight 46 %–44.5 % distribution. Updated runs expected overnight will likely tighten or shift these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$10,107結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Shanghai’s September 20 high temperature centers on the near-even split between 28 °C and 29 °C, reflecting ensemble forecast spread from global models that place maximum readings right at the boundary between those thresholds. Late-September climatology features weakening monsoon flow and variable subtropical ridge influence, allowing modest day-to-day swings driven by cloud cover, wind direction, and boundary-layer moisture. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and international centers shows limited model consensus on exact peak values, with small differences in simulated advection and diurnal heating producing the tight 46 %–44.5 % distribution. Updated runs expected overnight will likely tighten or shift these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,107結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETTrader sentiment for Shanghai’s September 20 high temperature centers on the near-even split between 28 °C and 29 °C, reflecting ensemble forecast spread from global models that place maximum readings right at the boundary between those thresholds. Late-September climatology features weakening monsoon flow and variable subtropical ridge influence, allowing modest day-to-day swings driven by cloud cover, wind direction, and boundary-layer moisture. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and international centers shows limited model consensus on exact peak values, with small differences in simulated advection and diurnal heating producing the tight 46 %–44.5 % distribution. Updated runs expected overnight will likely tighten or shift these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions