**Marine layer depth and onshore flow from the cool Pacific currently anchor trader expectations for San Francisco’s September 20 minimum near or below 57°F.** Persistent stratus and light westerly winds limit overnight radiative cooling, while the seasonal weakening of the North Pacific High reduces strong upwelling-driven chill compared with midsummer. Recent model guidance shows overnight lows stabilizing in the upper 50s under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with the 56–57°F bin’s 42.5% implied probability, yet lingering uncertainty over exact inversion height and any late clearing keeps the 51°F-or-below outcome near even odds. Historical September averages near 56°F and recent station readings around 57°F further calibrate the tight spread between the top two bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於舊金山9月20日的最低溫度？
舊金山9月20日的最低溫度？
51°F或以下 100%
56-57°F 51%
62-63°F 40%
64-65°F 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
51°F或以下
100%
52-53°F
21%
54-55°F
21%
56-57°F
51%
58-59°F
33%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
40%
64-65°F
40%
66-67°F
3%
68-69華氏度
1%
華氏70度或更高
1%
51°F或以下 100%
56-57°F 51%
62-63°F 40%
64-65°F 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
51°F或以下
$0 交易量
100%
52-53°F
$0 交易量
21%
54-55°F
$0 交易量
21%
56-57°F
$44 交易量
51%
58-59°F
$117 交易量
33%
60-61°F
$298 交易量
9%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
40%
64-65°F
$0 交易量
40%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
3%
68-69華氏度
$10 交易量
1%
華氏70度或更高
$10 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Marine layer depth and onshore flow from the cool Pacific currently anchor trader expectations for San Francisco’s September 20 minimum near or below 57°F.** Persistent stratus and light westerly winds limit overnight radiative cooling, while the seasonal weakening of the North Pacific High reduces strong upwelling-driven chill compared with midsummer. Recent model guidance shows overnight lows stabilizing in the upper 50s under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with the 56–57°F bin’s 42.5% implied probability, yet lingering uncertainty over exact inversion height and any late clearing keeps the 51°F-or-below outcome near even odds. Historical September averages near 56°F and recent station readings around 57°F further calibrate the tight spread between the top two bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
交易量
$479結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 7:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Marine layer depth and onshore flow from the cool Pacific currently anchor trader expectations for San Francisco’s September 20 minimum near or below 57°F.** Persistent stratus and light westerly winds limit overnight radiative cooling, while the seasonal weakening of the North Pacific High reduces strong upwelling-driven chill compared with midsummer. Recent model guidance shows overnight lows stabilizing in the upper 50s under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with the 56–57°F bin’s 42.5% implied probability, yet lingering uncertainty over exact inversion height and any late clearing keeps the 51°F-or-below outcome near even odds. Historical September averages near 56°F and recent station readings around 57°F further calibrate the tight spread between the top two bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$479結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 7:29 AM ET**Marine layer depth and onshore flow from the cool Pacific currently anchor trader expectations for San Francisco’s September 20 minimum near or below 57°F.** Persistent stratus and light westerly winds limit overnight radiative cooling, while the seasonal weakening of the North Pacific High reduces strong upwelling-driven chill compared with midsummer. Recent model guidance shows overnight lows stabilizing in the upper 50s under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with the 56–57°F bin’s 42.5% implied probability, yet lingering uncertainty over exact inversion height and any late clearing keeps the 51°F-or-below outcome near even odds. Historical September averages near 56°F and recent station readings around 57°F further calibrate the tight spread between the top two bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions