Current National Weather Service and model consensus for Miami on September 22 point to a daytime high in the upper 80s amid persistent tropical moisture and south-southeast flow, with scattered to numerous afternoon thunderstorms likely. These conditions create narrow margins between 86–89°F outcomes, as storm timing and cloud cover can cap peak temperatures or allow brief breaks for stronger diurnal heating. Historical September averages near 86°F provide context, while the absence of nearby tropical systems reduces outlier risks. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs tomorrow morning represent key data points that could shift trader-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日邁阿密的最高溫度？
9月22日邁阿密的最高溫度？
88-89°F 43%
86-87°F 34%
90-91°F 20%
84-85°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
華氏75度或以下
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
34%
88-89°F
43%
90-91°F
20%
92-93°F
1%
94°F或更高
<1%
88-89°F 43%
86-87°F 34%
90-91°F 20%
84-85°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
華氏75度或以下
$52 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$221 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$64 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$64 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$73 交易量
2%
84-85°F
$964 交易量
6%
86-87°F
$1,205 交易量
34%
88-89°F
$1,488 交易量
43%
90-91°F
$2,099 交易量
20%
92-93°F
$53 交易量
1%
94°F或更高
$125 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus for Miami on September 22 point to a daytime high in the upper 80s amid persistent tropical moisture and south-southeast flow, with scattered to numerous afternoon thunderstorms likely. These conditions create narrow margins between 86–89°F outcomes, as storm timing and cloud cover can cap peak temperatures or allow brief breaks for stronger diurnal heating. Historical September averages near 86°F provide context, while the absence of nearby tropical systems reduces outlier risks. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs tomorrow morning represent key data points that could shift trader-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$6,407結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus for Miami on September 22 point to a daytime high in the upper 80s amid persistent tropical moisture and south-southeast flow, with scattered to numerous afternoon thunderstorms likely. These conditions create narrow margins between 86–89°F outcomes, as storm timing and cloud cover can cap peak temperatures or allow brief breaks for stronger diurnal heating. Historical September averages near 86°F provide context, while the absence of nearby tropical systems reduces outlier risks. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs tomorrow morning represent key data points that could shift trader-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,407結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ETCurrent National Weather Service and model consensus for Miami on September 22 point to a daytime high in the upper 80s amid persistent tropical moisture and south-southeast flow, with scattered to numerous afternoon thunderstorms likely. These conditions create narrow margins between 86–89°F outcomes, as storm timing and cloud cover can cap peak temperatures or allow brief breaks for stronger diurnal heating. Historical September averages near 86°F provide context, while the absence of nearby tropical systems reduces outlier risks. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs tomorrow morning represent key data points that could shift trader-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions