Recent ensemble forecasts for Panama City, Panama, point to a minimum temperature of 24–26°C on September 22, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and light winds that limit radiative cooling during the wet season. Historical September lows average 23–24°C, but current model consensus shows slightly elevated values from ongoing tropical moisture. This scientific context underpins the market's strong preference for 26°C at 53.5% implied probability, with 24°C and 25°C each at 21%, reflecting trader assessment of forecast uncertainty and typical overnight stabilization around these thresholds ahead of final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於巴拿馬城9月22日的最低溫度？
巴拿馬城9月22日的最低溫度？
26°C 54%
30°C或以上 36%
29°C 35%
27°C 23%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
20°C或以下
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
5%
24°C
21%
25°C
21%
26°C
54%
27°C
23%
28°C
19%
29°C
35%
30°C或以上
36%
26°C 54%
30°C或以上 36%
29°C 35%
27°C 23%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
20°C或以下
$10 交易量
1%
21°C
$15 交易量
1%
22°C
$58 交易量
3%
23°C
$125 交易量
5%
24°C
$0 交易量
21%
25°C
$0 交易量
21%
26°C
$36 交易量
54%
27°C
$0 交易量
23%
28°C
$0 交易量
19%
29°C
$10 交易量
35%
30°C或以上
$100 交易量
36%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts for Panama City, Panama, point to a minimum temperature of 24–26°C on September 22, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and light winds that limit radiative cooling during the wet season. Historical September lows average 23–24°C, but current model consensus shows slightly elevated values from ongoing tropical moisture. This scientific context underpins the market's strong preference for 26°C at 53.5% implied probability, with 24°C and 25°C each at 21%, reflecting trader assessment of forecast uncertainty and typical overnight stabilization around these thresholds ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
交易量
$353結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts for Panama City, Panama, point to a minimum temperature of 24–26°C on September 22, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and light winds that limit radiative cooling during the wet season. Historical September lows average 23–24°C, but current model consensus shows slightly elevated values from ongoing tropical moisture. This scientific context underpins the market's strong preference for 26°C at 53.5% implied probability, with 24°C and 25°C each at 21%, reflecting trader assessment of forecast uncertainty and typical overnight stabilization around these thresholds ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$353結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts for Panama City, Panama, point to a minimum temperature of 24–26°C on September 22, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and light winds that limit radiative cooling during the wet season. Historical September lows average 23–24°C, but current model consensus shows slightly elevated values from ongoing tropical moisture. This scientific context underpins the market's strong preference for 26°C at 53.5% implied probability, with 24°C and 25°C each at 21%, reflecting trader assessment of forecast uncertainty and typical overnight stabilization around these thresholds ahead of final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions