Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional forecasts call for a 25°C maximum in Buenos Aires on September 20 amid mostly cloudy skies and thunderstorms developing in the afternoon, with northerly winds potentially advecting warmer air before the system arrives. Multiple models show highs clustered between 22–25°C, reflecting uncertainty over storm timing, cloud cover, and exact peak readings from official stations. Spring climatology supports mild warming above seasonal averages near 18–20°C, yet the tight spread in market-implied probabilities for 24–26°C underscores how small shifts in convective activity or wind direction could alter the daily high by a degree or two before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
25°C 28%
26°C 27%
24°C 21%
23°C 11%
$23,932 交易量
$23,932 交易量
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
4%
23°C
11%
24°C
21%
25°C
28%
26°C
27%
27°C
9%
28°C或以上
6%
25°C 28%
26°C 27%
24°C 21%
23°C 11%
$23,932 交易量
$23,932 交易量
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
4%
23°C
11%
24°C
21%
25°C
28%
26°C
27%
27°C
9%
28°C或以上
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 18, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional forecasts call for a 25°C maximum in Buenos Aires on September 20 amid mostly cloudy skies and thunderstorms developing in the afternoon, with northerly winds potentially advecting warmer air before the system arrives. Multiple models show highs clustered between 22–25°C, reflecting uncertainty over storm timing, cloud cover, and exact peak readings from official stations. Spring climatology supports mild warming above seasonal averages near 18–20°C, yet the tight spread in market-implied probabilities for 24–26°C underscores how small shifts in convective activity or wind direction could alter the daily high by a degree or two before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions