Latest forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, converge on a maximum of 36–37°C for Jeddah on September 22 under mostly clear skies and light southwesterly winds. This tight clustering drives the near-even market odds between those two outcomes, as traders weigh subtle differences in sea-breeze timing and any residual moisture from the Red Sea that could cap peak readings. Historical September averages near 37°C provide context, yet recent daily maxima have fluctuated with minor cloud or wind shifts. With resolution imminent via official observations, updated model guidance tonight will likely determine whether the 37°C threshold is reached.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於吉達9月22日的最高溫度?
36°C 36%
37°C 36%
35°C 12%
38°C 10%
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C
4%
35°C
12%
36°C
36%
37°C
36%
38°C
10%
39°C或更高
3%
36°C 36%
37°C 36%
35°C 12%
38°C 10%
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C
4%
35°C
12%
36°C
36%
37°C
36%
38°C
10%
39°C或更高
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, converge on a maximum of 36–37°C for Jeddah on September 22 under mostly clear skies and light southwesterly winds. This tight clustering drives the near-even market odds between those two outcomes, as traders weigh subtle differences in sea-breeze timing and any residual moisture from the Red Sea that could cap peak readings. Historical September averages near 37°C provide context, yet recent daily maxima have fluctuated with minor cloud or wind shifts. With resolution imminent via official observations, updated model guidance tonight will likely determine whether the 37°C threshold is reached.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions