**Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological models position 36–37°C as the most probable range for Jeddah’s maximum temperature on September 21, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 29.5% and 40.5%.** Clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and stable high pressure are expected to support daytime heating under typical Red Sea coastal humidity levels near 50%, with afternoon peaks likely occurring between 12:00–15:00 local time. Current September conditions show a slight cooling trend from mid-month highs above 39°C, consistent with climatological norms for the period. Minor model spread around intensification timing keeps 38°C at 19% as a plausible upside outcome, while lower probabilities reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations absent unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts. Final resolution will depend on verified station observations from the Saudi Meteorological Authority.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於吉達9月21日的最高溫度?
37°C 41%
36°C 29%
38°C 19%
35°C 5%
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
5%
36°C
29%
37°C
41%
38°C
19%
39°C
4%
40°C或以上
2%
37°C 41%
36°C 29%
38°C 19%
35°C 5%
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
5%
36°C
29%
37°C
41%
38°C
19%
39°C
4%
40°C或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological models position 36–37°C as the most probable range for Jeddah’s maximum temperature on September 21, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 29.5% and 40.5%.** Clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and stable high pressure are expected to support daytime heating under typical Red Sea coastal humidity levels near 50%, with afternoon peaks likely occurring between 12:00–15:00 local time. Current September conditions show a slight cooling trend from mid-month highs above 39°C, consistent with climatological norms for the period. Minor model spread around intensification timing keeps 38°C at 19% as a plausible upside outcome, while lower probabilities reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations absent unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts. Final resolution will depend on verified station observations from the Saudi Meteorological Authority.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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