**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a maximum near 28–30°C in Wuhan on September 20, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northerly to northwesterly winds and minimal precipitation.** This range aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 28–29°C, reflecting typical late-September conditions in the Yangtze River valley as subtropical monsoon influence wanes and solar insolation begins to decline. Daytime heating will depend on cloud fraction—scattered cumulus can suppress peaks by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and enhanced mixing—while dew points near 20–22°C and weak boundary-layer winds favor modest warming without strong advection or cold-air intrusion. Model spreads arise mainly from timing of any thin mid-level clouds and subtle differences in surface energy balance; official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles currently centers on 29–30°C. Updated short-range runs and hourly observations on the 19th–20th will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日武漢氣溫最高？
9月20日武漢氣溫最高？
28°C 30%
29°C 30%
27°C 22%
30°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
22%
28°C
30%
29°C
30%
30°C
16%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C或以上
1%
28°C 30%
29°C 30%
27°C 22%
30°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
25°C或以下
$21 交易量
<1%
26°C
$99 交易量
2%
27°C
$1,460 交易量
22%
28°C
$302 交易量
30%
29°C
$269 交易量
30%
30°C
$312 交易量
16%
31°C
$119 交易量
5%
32°C
$107 交易量
2%
33°C
$34 交易量
2%
34°C
$16 交易量
1%
35°C或以上
$1,174 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a maximum near 28–30°C in Wuhan on September 20, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northerly to northwesterly winds and minimal precipitation.**
This range aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 28–29°C, reflecting typical late-September conditions in the Yangtze River valley as subtropical monsoon influence wanes and solar insolation begins to decline. Daytime heating will depend on cloud fraction—scattered cumulus can suppress peaks by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and enhanced mixing—while dew points near 20–22°C and weak boundary-layer winds favor modest warming without strong advection or cold-air intrusion. Model spreads arise mainly from timing of any thin mid-level clouds and subtle differences in surface energy balance; official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles currently centers on 29–30°C. Updated short-range runs and hourly observations on the 19th–20th will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$3,705結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a maximum near 28–30°C in Wuhan on September 20, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northerly to northwesterly winds and minimal precipitation.**
This range aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 28–29°C, reflecting typical late-September conditions in the Yangtze River valley as subtropical monsoon influence wanes and solar insolation begins to decline. Daytime heating will depend on cloud fraction—scattered cumulus can suppress peaks by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and enhanced mixing—while dew points near 20–22°C and weak boundary-layer winds favor modest warming without strong advection or cold-air intrusion. Model spreads arise mainly from timing of any thin mid-level clouds and subtle differences in surface energy balance; official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles currently centers on 29–30°C. Updated short-range runs and hourly observations on the 19th–20th will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,705結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a maximum near 28–30°C in Wuhan on September 20, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northerly to northwesterly winds and minimal precipitation.** This range aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 28–29°C, reflecting typical late-September conditions in the Yangtze River valley as subtropical monsoon influence wanes and solar insolation begins to decline. Daytime heating will depend on cloud fraction—scattered cumulus can suppress peaks by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and enhanced mixing—while dew points near 20–22°C and weak boundary-layer winds favor modest warming without strong advection or cold-air intrusion. Model spreads arise mainly from timing of any thin mid-level clouds and subtle differences in surface energy balance; official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles currently centers on 29–30°C. Updated short-range runs and hourly observations on the 19th–20th will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions