Forecast models from sources including GFS and regional runs indicate Moscow's highest temperature on September 18 will likely peak near 18–20°C under variable cloud cover and scattered showers, with daytime maxima around 17–19.9°C depending on exact timing of precipitation and westerly flow. This places the outcome above the long-term September 18 average high of roughly 15.8°C, supporting the market's slight edge for 20°C or higher at 23% implied probability while keeping 14–19°C buckets clustered near 20% each. Low odds below 14°C reflect minimal cold-air advection risk in current steering patterns. New high-resolution model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum and any model spread on cloud or rain effects.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日莫斯科的最高溫度？
9月18日莫斯科的最高溫度？
15°C 26%
18°C 24%
17°C 23%
16°C 21%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
10°C或以下
4%
11°C
4%
12°C
4%
13°C
4%
14°C
16%
15°C
26%
16°C
21%
17°C
23%
18°C
24%
19°C
18%
20°C或以上
21%
15°C 26%
18°C 24%
17°C 23%
16°C 21%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
10°C或以下
$0 交易量
4%
11°C
$0 交易量
4%
12°C
$0 交易量
4%
13°C
$0 交易量
4%
14°C
$0 交易量
16%
15°C
$0 交易量
26%
16°C
$0 交易量
21%
17°C
$0 交易量
23%
18°C
$0 交易量
24%
19°C
$0 交易量
18%
20°C或以上
$0 交易量
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and regional runs indicate Moscow's highest temperature on September 18 will likely peak near 18–20°C under variable cloud cover and scattered showers, with daytime maxima around 17–19.9°C depending on exact timing of precipitation and westerly flow. This places the outcome above the long-term September 18 average high of roughly 15.8°C, supporting the market's slight edge for 20°C or higher at 23% implied probability while keeping 14–19°C buckets clustered near 20% each. Low odds below 14°C reflect minimal cold-air advection risk in current steering patterns. New high-resolution model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum and any model spread on cloud or rain effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and regional runs indicate Moscow's highest temperature on September 18 will likely peak near 18–20°C under variable cloud cover and scattered showers, with daytime maxima around 17–19.9°C depending on exact timing of precipitation and westerly flow. This places the outcome above the long-term September 18 average high of roughly 15.8°C, supporting the market's slight edge for 20°C or higher at 23% implied probability while keeping 14–19°C buckets clustered near 20% each. Low odds below 14°C reflect minimal cold-air advection risk in current steering patterns. New high-resolution model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum and any model spread on cloud or rain effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETForecast models from sources including GFS and regional runs indicate Moscow's highest temperature on September 18 will likely peak near 18–20°C under variable cloud cover and scattered showers, with daytime maxima around 17–19.9°C depending on exact timing of precipitation and westerly flow. This places the outcome above the long-term September 18 average high of roughly 15.8°C, supporting the market's slight edge for 20°C or higher at 23% implied probability while keeping 14–19°C buckets clustered near 20% each. Low odds below 14°C reflect minimal cold-air advection risk in current steering patterns. New high-resolution model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum and any model spread on cloud or rain effects.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions